Match Info

Segunda FEB - Round 21

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Caja 87		Ponferrada

	1	2
	1.18	3.71
	1.27	3.29	Watch
	1.22	4
	1.28	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.4)	3.59 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caja 87
74.4%

Ponferrada
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caja 87 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caja 87's performance.

Ponferrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ponferrada might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caja 87 than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caja 87 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferrada than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ponferrada could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Caja 87 - Ponferrada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:73

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Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Caja 87 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Caja 87 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 240:234. (average 80:78).

Including home match between the teams, Caja 87 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 76:67.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caja 87 Basket
Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
08.03.26	Leonesa - Caja 87	74:97 ✺
22.02.26	Caja 87 - Valle de Egüés	95:72 ✺
15.02.26	Toledo - Caja 87	82:79 OT ✺
08.02.26	Caja 87 - Cáceres CB	88:92 ✺
01.02.26	Córdoba - Caja 87	75:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLLL
- CB Ciudad de Ponferrada
Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
08.03.26	Valladolid - Ponferrada	86:58 ✺
21.02.26	Ponferrada - Leonesa	93:86 ✺
14.02.26	Valle de Egüés - Ponferrada	74:86 ✺
07.02.26	Ponferrada - Toledo	89:63 ✺
31.01.26	Cáceres CB - Ponferrada	86:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
22.11.25	Ponferrada - Caja 87	88:78
12.04.25	Ponferrada - Caja 87	79:86 OT
22.12.24	Caja 87 - Ponferrada	76:67

Caja 87 - Ponferrada: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide