Match Info

Segunda FEB - Round 17

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Ponferrada		Toledo

	1	2
	1.8	1.8
	1.82	1.84
	1.86	1.81	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.86	1.82
	1.64	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.53)	1.88 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ponferrada
51%

Toledo
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ponferrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ponferrada's form might have worsened.

Toledo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toledo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferrada than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ponferrada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toledo than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toledo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ponferrada - Toledo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:80

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Preview

In recent matches, Ponferrada has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Toledo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ponferrada won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 85:82.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CB Ciudad de Ponferrada
Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
31.01.26	Cáceres CB - Ponferrada	86:60 ✺
17.01.26	Ponferrada - Córdoba	82:74 ✺
11.01.26	Clavijo - Ponferrada	77:72 ✺
03.01.26	Circulo Gijón - Ponferrada	62:70 ✺
20.12.25	Ponferrada - Morón	61:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWL
- CB Toledo
Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
01.02.26	Toledo - Leonesa	73:54 ✺
17.01.26	Valle de Egüés - Toledo	83:81 ✺
11.01.26	Toledo - Valladolid	87:73 ✺
03.01.26	Cáceres CB - Toledo	95:96 OT ✺
21.12.25	Toledo - Córdoba	76:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
26.10.25	Toledo - Ponferrada	82:85

Ponferrada - Toledo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide