Match Info
Segunda FEB - Round 17Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished Where to Watch on TV: | Country | Kick-Off | TV Channels |
|---|
Spain | 19:30 | LaLiga+ |
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 |
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 |
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Ponferrada |
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Toledo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.8 |
|
1.8 |
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 |
1.82 |
|
1.84 |
|
 |
1.86 |
|
1.81 |
Watch |
 |
1.85 |
|
1.85 |
|
 |
1.86 |
|
1.82 |
|
 |
1.64 |
|
2.15 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.81 ↑ (1.53) |
|
1.88 ↓ (2.22) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 158.75
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Ponferrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ponferrada's form might have worsened.Toledo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toledo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferrada than the current prediction. (+12.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ponferrada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toledo than the current prediction. (-12.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toledo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Ponferrada - Toledo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:80 
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Preview
In recent matches, Ponferrada has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Toledo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4). The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ponferrada won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 85:82.