Match Info

NCAA

Date: 4 December 2025, Thursday


	Cal State Fullerton Titans		Cal Poly Mustangs

	1	2
	1.87	1.95
	1.82	1.92
	1.88	1.97
	1.83	1.89	Watch
	1.85	1.91
	1.82	1.88
	1.86	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.8)	1.92 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 177.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cal State Fullerton Titans
51%

Cal Poly Mustangs
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cal State Fullerton Titans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Cal Poly Mustangs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cal State Fullerton Titans than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cal Poly Mustangs than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Cal State Fullerton Titans - Cal Poly Mustangs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:90

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cal State Fullerton won 3.

Cal State Fullerton has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cal Poly's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cal Poly may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Cal Poly has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cal State Fullerton won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1479:1400. (average 74:70).

Including home matches between the teams, Cal State Fullerton won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 853:801. (average 77.5:72.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cal State Fullerton Titans basketball
NCAA College Basketball
29.11.25	Cal State Fullerton Titans - Pepperdine Waves	83:69 ✺
23.11.25	Cal State Fullerton Titans - Northern Colorado Bears	97:93 ✺
22.11.25	St. Thomas Minnesota Tommies - Cal State Fullerton Titans	88:80 ✺
21.11.25	Portland Pilots - Cal State Fullerton Titans	103:85 ✺
15.11.25	Cal State Fullerton Titans - Pacific Tigers	73:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLLL
- Cal Poly Mustangs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
25.11.25	Cal Poly Mustangs - Southeast Missouri State Redhawks	68:84 ✺
24.11.25	Northern Arizona Lumberjacks - Cal Poly Mustangs	93:87 ✺
20.11.25	Utah Utes - Cal Poly Mustangs	85:92 ✺
14.11.25	Montana Grizzlies - Cal Poly Mustangs	90:82 ✺
12.11.25	Colorado State Rams - Cal Poly Mustangs	93:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
06.03.25	Cal Poly Mustangs - Cal State Fullerton Titans	100:61
13.02.25	Cal State Fullerton Titans - Cal Poly Mustangs	83:98
22.02.24	Cal State Fullerton Titans - Cal Poly Mustangs	68:50
25.01.24	Cal Poly Mustangs - Cal State Fullerton Titans	51:54
18.02.23	Cal State Fullerton Titans - Cal Poly Mustangs	83:62
28.01.23	Cal Poly Mustangs - Cal State Fullerton Titans	36:65
03.02.22	Cal State Fullerton Titans - Cal Poly Mustangs	61:50

Cal State Fullerton Titans - Cal Poly Mustangs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide