Match Info

CEBL

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: WinSport Arena (Calgary, AB) 🌤️ ...


	Calgary Surge		Niagara River Lions

	1	2
	2.63	1.43
	2.85	1.39
	2.9	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.63)	1.41 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 180.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Calgary Surge
33.5%

Niagara River Lions
66.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.2%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Calgary Surge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Niagara River Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calgary Surge than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niagara River Lions than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Calgary Surge - Niagara River Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:94

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Adelodun O.	4. Ahmad K.
1. Chaney A.	13. Cayo N.
11. Johnson M.	23. Kennedy K.
00. Miller-Moore S. (C)	22. Lufile E. (C)
35. Swanton-Rodger C.	0. Vinales K.
Substitutes
25. Arms A.	3. Davis Jr A.
89. Carry S.	12. Gak G.
22. Ejim D.	2. Nurhussien A.
19. Frenci J.	1. Tchuente J.
0. Williams O.	11. Tutu M.
Coaches
. Deaveiro D.	. Mackezie K.

Preview

Played with special rules.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Niagara River may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Calgary has had a series of home games.

Niagara River is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Calgary will win today's game, with odds of 2.63.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 515:546. (average 85.8:91).

Including home matches between the teams, Calgary won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 252:237. (average 84:79).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calgary Surge
Canadian CEBL
26.07.26	Edmonton Stingers - Calgary Surge	100:89 ✺
24.07.26	Calgary Surge - Edmonton Stingers	101:88 ✺
21.07.26	Calgary Surge - Vancouver Bandits	93:86 ✺
19.07.26	Calgary Surge - Saskatoon Mamba	99:116 ✺
17.07.26	Calgary Surge - Winnipeg Sea Bears	93:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWWLW
- Niagara River Lions
Canadian CEBL
29.07.26	Saskatoon Mamba - Niagara River Lions	94:83 ✺
26.07.26	Niagara River Lions - Ottawa Blackjacks	106:102 ✺
24.07.26	Scarborough Shooting Stars - Niagara River Lions	82:75 ✺
18.07.26	Niagara River Lions - Edmonton Stingers	91:102 ✺
16.07.26	Niagara River Lions - Brampton Honey Badgers	99:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Canadian CEBL
24.08.25	Calgary Surge - Niagara River Lions	73:79
10.08.25	Calgary Surge - Niagara River Lions	94:76
04.07.24	Niagara River Lions - Calgary Surge	109:89
23.06.23	Niagara River Lions - Calgary Surge	99:86
30.05.23	Calgary Surge - Niagara River Lions	85:82
09.07.22	Niagara River Lions - Calgary Surge	101:88

Calgary Surge - Niagara River Lions