Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 31 December 2023, Sunday


	California Golden Bears		Arizona State Sun Devils

	1	2
	1.59	2.45
	1.6	2.4
	1.57	2.45	Watch
	1.58	2.45
	1.58	2.45
	1.57	2.3
	1.61	2.42
	1.51	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.83)	2.42 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 146.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

California Golden Bears
60.6%

Arizona State Sun Devils
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

48.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

California Golden Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in California Golden Bears's performance.

Arizona State Sun Devils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arizona State Sun Devils might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for California Golden Bears than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with California Golden Bears that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arizona State Sun Devils than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arizona State Sun Devils could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

California Golden Bears - Arizona State Sun Devils Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:71

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches California won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

California will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 19 head-to-head matches California won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 1242-1356.

Including matches at home between the teams California won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 690-734.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- California Golden Bears basketball
NCAA College Basketball
29.12.23	California Golden Bears - Arizona Wildcats	81:100 ✺
20.12.23	California Golden Bears - UC San Diego Tritons	71:67 ✺
16.12.23	Ole Miss Rebels - California Golden Bears	88:78 ✺
09.12.23	Butler Bulldogs - California Golden Bears	97:90 OT ✺
02.12.23	California Golden Bears - Santa Clara Broncos	84:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLW
- Arizona State Sun Devils basketball
NCAA College Basketball
29.12.23	Stanford Cardinal - Arizona State Sun Devils	73:76 ✺
20.12.23	Arizona State Sun Devils - Northwestern Wildcats	46:65 ✺
16.12.23	TCU Horned Frogs - Arizona State Sun Devils	79:59 ✺
09.12.23	San Diego Toreros - Arizona State Sun Devils	89:84 ✺
06.12.23	Arizona State Sun Devils - Southern Methodist Mustangs	76:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
11.02.23	California Golden Bears - Arizona State Sun Devils	62:70 OT
03.03.22	Arizona State Sun Devils - California Golden Bears	71:44
02.01.22	California Golden Bears - Arizona State Sun Devils	74:50
28.01.21	Arizona State Sun Devils - California Golden Bears	72:68
03.12.20	California Golden Bears - Arizona State Sun Devils	62:70
16.02.20	California Golden Bears - Arizona State Sun Devils	75:80
24.02.19	Arizona State Sun Devils - California Golden Bears	69:59

California Golden Bears - Arizona State Sun Devils: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide