Match Info

ACB - Round 30

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Pabellón Insular Santiago Martín (San Cristóbal de La Laguna)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	DAZN
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	DAZN France
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 7
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Portugal	DAZN 1
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN


	Canarias		Joventut Badalona

	1	2
	1.4	2.7	Watch
	1.53	2.54
	1.36	3.05	Watch
	1.32	3.18
	1.33	3.2
	1.33	3
	1.35	3.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.56)	3 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canarias
68.6%

Joventut Badalona
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canarias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Canarias's performance.

Joventut Badalona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joventut Badalona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canarias than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Canarias that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joventut Badalona than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joventut Badalona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Canarias - Joventut Badalona Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Canarias (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Canarias will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Abromaitis T.	24. Hunt C.
6. Fitipaldo B.	1. Kraag Y.
88. Mills P.	11. Parker J.
11. Scrubb T.	9. Rubio R.
19. Shermadini G.	23. Ruzic M.
Substitutes
33. Alderete H.	21. Allen M.
16. Bordon D.	35. Birgander S.
3. Fernandez J.	0. Drell H.
35. Guerra F.	12. Hakanson L.
24. Sangare M.	88. Hanga A.
15. Sastre J.	25. Morin Y.
4. Van Beck W.	16. Vives G.
Coaches
. Vidorreta T.	. Miret D.

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canarias won 4.

Canarias has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Joventut has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Canarias may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Canarias might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Canarias won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1576:1550. (average 78.8:77.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Canarias won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 696:617. (average 87:77.1).

Outrights of Spanish ACB League for now

Joventut Badalona: 3.09% Tenerife: 2.65%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
9	Tenerife	2	1	1	160:156	2
16	Joventut Badalona	1	0	1	104:110	0

Last Results with these Odds

Canarias - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 60.46%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CB Canarias
Spanish ACB League
17.05.26	Canarias - Barcelona	97:102 ✺
14.05.26	Gran Canaria 2014 - Canarias	102:83 ✺
Champions League Basketball
09.05.26	Unicaja Malaga - Canarias	85:80 ✺
07.05.26	Rytas - Canarias	87:69 ✺
Spanish ACB League
02.05.26	Canarias - BC Andorra	89:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Joventut Badalona
Spanish ACB League
17.05.26	Real Madrid - Joventut Badalona	81:89 ✺
14.05.26	Joventut Badalona - BC Andorra	101:79 ✺
26.04.26	CB Breogán - Joventut Badalona	93:86 ✺
18.04.26	Joventut Badalona - Baskonia	81:69 ✺
Champions League Basketball
15.04.26	AEK Athens - Joventut Badalona	72:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
03.01.26	Joventut Badalona - Canarias	78:67
Club Friendly Basketball
11.09.25	Joventut Badalona - Canarias	65:68
Spanish ACB League
04.06.25	Joventut Badalona - Canarias	60:80
02.06.25	Canarias - Joventut Badalona	96:81
01.03.25	Canarias - Joventut Badalona	82:81
15.12.24	Joventut Badalona - Canarias	93:86
09.05.24	Joventut Badalona - Canarias	96:88

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