Match Info

Lega A - Round 9

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: PalaFitLineDesio (Desio)

Referee: Bartolomeo A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	COSMOTE Sport 5
Italy	LBA TV


	Cantù		Virtus Bologna

	1	2
			Watch
	3.4	1.32	Watch
	2.67	1.41	Watch
	3.32	1.35	Watch
	2.7	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.7)	1.37 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cantù
31.2%

Virtus Bologna
68.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cantù has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Virtus Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cantù than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Bologna than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Cantù - Virtus Bologna Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 164.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 165.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Ballo O.	21. Alston Jr. D.
21. Basile G.	35. Diouf M.
12. Bortolani G.	3. Edwards C.
0. Gilyard J.	34. Jallow K.
20. Sneed X.	1. Vildoza L.
Substitutes
33. Ajayi J.	8. Accorsi M.
8. Bowden J.	45. Akele N.
10. De Nicolao A.	31. Diarra A.
19. Molteni M.	23. Hackett D.
9. Moraschini R.	30. Morgan M.
90. Okeke L.	7. Niang S.
36. Zimonjic B.	6. Pajola A.
Coaches
. Brienza N.	. Ivanovic D.

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cantù won 1.

Cantù has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Virtus Bologna is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Virtus Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Virtus Bologna is a strong favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Cantù won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1322:1285. (average 77.8:75.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Cantù won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 614:550. (average 87.7:78.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Virtus Bologna - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 65.85%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallacanestro Cantu
Italian Lega A Basketball
16.11.25	Varese - Cantù	91:82 ✺
09.11.25	Cantù - Udine	90:85 OT ✺
06.11.25	Dinamo Sassari - Cantù	100:84 ✺
02.11.25	Cantù - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	91:83 ✺
26.10.25	Basket Brescia - Cantù	104:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLWL
- Virtus Bologna
Euroleague
21.11.25	Virtus Bologna - Maccabi Tel Aviv	99:89 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
17.11.25	Treviso Basket - Virtus Bologna	79:101 ✺
Euroleague
14.11.25	Barcelona - Virtus Bologna	88:81 ✺
11.11.25	Virtus Bologna - Anadolu Efes Pilsen	99:89 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
09.11.25	Virtus Bologna - Reggiana	80:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
17.01.21	Cantù - Virtus Bologna	82:91
27.09.20	Virtus Bologna - Cantù	84:65
01.12.19	Virtus Bologna - Cantù	89:70
10.03.19	Cantù - Virtus Bologna	96:94
11.11.18	Virtus Bologna - Cantù	90:81
07.04.18	Virtus Bologna - Cantù	83:88
10.12.17	Cantù - Virtus Bologna	94:87

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