Match Info

Lega A - Round 8

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Palasport Lino Oldrini (Varese)

Referee: Cassina F. (Ita)


	Varese		Cantù

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.48	2.63
	1.68	2.05	Watch
	1.53	2.58	Watch
	1.65	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.65)	2.39 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varese
60.4%

Cantù
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Cantù has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varese than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cantù than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Varese - Cantù Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Varese (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
55. Freeman A.	33. Ajayi J.
13. Librizzi M.	11. Ballo O.
4. Moore T.	12. Bortolani G.
8. Nkamhoua O.	0. Gilyard J.
15. Renfro N.	20. Sneed X.
Substitutes
2. Alviti D.	21. Basile G.
19. Bergamin M.	8. Bowden J.
11. Iroegbu I.	10. De Nicolao A.
34. Ladurner M.	9. Moraschini R.
42. Moody S.	90. Okeke L.
7. N'Guessan E.	19. Ventura S.
5. Villa M.	36. Zimonjic B.
Coaches
. Kastritis I.	. Brienza N.

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 and 11)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varese won 1.

Varese is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cantù has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Varese won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1617:1585. (average 80.9:79.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Varese won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 749:676. (average 83.2:75.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pallacanestro Varese
Italian Lega A Basketball
09.11.25	Derthona Basket Tortona - Varese	90:87 ✺
04.11.25	Varese - Virtus Bologna	77:83 ✺
02.11.25	Venezia - Varese	86:75 ✺
25.10.25	Varese - Basket Trento	74:85 ✺
19.10.25	Reggiana - Varese	103:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Pallacanestro Cantu
Italian Lega A Basketball
09.11.25	Cantù - Udine	90:85 OT ✺
06.11.25	Dinamo Sassari - Cantù	100:84 ✺
02.11.25	Cantù - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	91:83 ✺
26.10.25	Basket Brescia - Cantù	104:94 ✺
19.10.25	Cantù - Trapani	63:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
31.01.21	Cantù - Varese	97:82
11.10.20	Varese - Cantù	80:90
Italian Lega A Super Cup Basketball
07.09.20	Cantù - Varese	81:72
04.09.20	Varese - Cantù	84:77
Italian Lega A Basketball
08.12.19	Cantù - Varese	74:67
20.04.19	Cantù - Varese	84:75
25.12.18	Varese - Cantù	89:71

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