Match Info

Libobasquet - First stage - Round 14

Date: 17 July 2025, Thursday


	Carl A-Z		Universitario de Sucre

	1	2
	2.05	1.67
	2.9	1.34
	2.76	1.39
	2.32	1.51	Watch
	2.05	1.7
	2.65	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (1.9)	1.51 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carl A-Z
38.1%

Universitario de Sucre
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

52.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carl A-Z has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carl A-Z's form might have worsened.

Universitario de Sucre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universitario de Sucre's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carl A-Z than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carl A-Z, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Sucre than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universitario de Sucre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Carl A Z - Universitario de Sucre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:87

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Preview

Carl A-Z has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Uni de Sucre is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Uni de Sucre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Carl A-Z won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 159:167. (average 79.5:83.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carl A-Z
Bolivian Libobasquet
14.07.25	Kinwa - Carl A-Z	89:94 ✺
09.07.25	Carl A-Z - Nacional Potosí	72:95 ✺
07.07.25	Carl A-Z - CAN Oruro	113:106 ✺
03.07.25	Pichincha Potosi - Carl A-Z	90:54 ✺
29.06.25	Carl A-Z - Leones de Potosi	83:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWLL
- Universitario de Sucre Basketball
Bolivian Libobasquet
13.07.25	Universitario de Sucre - Pichincha Potosi	95:89 ✺
11.07.25	Leones de Potosi - Universitario de Sucre	71:60 ✺
06.07.25	Universitario de Sucre - Calero Potosi	99:75 ✺
04.07.25	CAN Oruro - Universitario de Sucre	93:104 ✺
28.06.25	Kinwa - Universitario de Sucre	58:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Libobasquet
22.06.25	Universitario de Sucre - Carl A-Z	87:81
22.05.24	Universitario de Sucre - Carl A-Z	80:78

Carl A-Z - Universitario de Sucre: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide