Match Info

Libobasquet - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 July 2025, Friday


	Kinwa		Universitario de Sucre

	1	2
	1.36	2.75
	1.58	2.27
	1.37	2.75	Watch
	1.5	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.72)	2.56 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kinwa
63.8%

Universitario de Sucre
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kinwa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kinwa's performance.

Universitario de Sucre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universitario de Sucre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kinwa than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kinwa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universitario de Sucre than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universitario de Sucre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kinwa - Universitario de Sucre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:77

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Preview

Universitario Sucre leads series 1-0. 2nd leg.

Kinwa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Uni de Sucre is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Uni de Sucre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kinwa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 377:398. (average 75.4:79.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Kinwa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 139:148. (average 69.5:74).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kinwa Club
Bolivian Libobasquet
22.07.25	Universitario de Sucre - Kinwa	80:69 ✺
16.07.25	Nacional Potosí - Kinwa	88:63 ✺
14.07.25	Kinwa - Carl A-Z	89:94 ✺
08.07.25	Pichincha Potosi - Kinwa	51:58 ✺
05.07.25	Kinwa - Leones de Potosi	68:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLWL
- Universitario de Sucre Basketball
Bolivian Libobasquet
22.07.25	Universitario de Sucre - Kinwa	80:69 ✺
17.07.25	Carl A-Z - Universitario de Sucre	78:82 ✺
13.07.25	Universitario de Sucre - Pichincha Potosi	95:89 ✺
11.07.25	Leones de Potosi - Universitario de Sucre	71:60 ✺
06.07.25	Universitario de Sucre - Calero Potosi	99:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Libobasquet
22.07.25	Universitario de Sucre - Kinwa	80:69
28.06.25	Kinwa - Universitario de Sucre	58:65
19.05.25	Universitario de Sucre - Kinwa	81:82
26.06.24	Universitario de Sucre - Kinwa	89:87
06.05.24	Kinwa - Universitario de Sucre	81:83

Kinwa - Universitario de Sucre: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide