Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A2 WOMEN - NORTH - ROUND 25

Date: 4 April 2023, Tuesday

Location: Palasport (Carugate)


	Carugate		Alpo Villafranca

	1	2
	1.87	1.8
	1.89	1.85
	1.85	1.85
	1.88	1.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.89)	1.83 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 138.25

The most likely Handicap: (0)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carugate
49.4%

Alpo Villafranca
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carugate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Alpo Villafranca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carugate than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alpo Villafranca than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Carugate - Alpo Villafranca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 69:69

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Preview

Carugate is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alpo Villafranca is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Carugate won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 244-284.

Including matches at home between the teams Carugate won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 52-70.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Carugate
Italian Serie A2 North Basketball Women
25.03.23	Carugate - BC Bolzano	55:63 ✺
18.03.23	Carugate - Futurosa Trieste	70:74 ✺
11.03.23	Treviso - Carugate	74:73 OT ✺
25.02.23	Mantova - Carugate	67:62 ✺
18.02.23	Carugate - Libertas Udine	66:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLLW
- Alpo Villafranca DI Verona
Italian Serie A2 North Basketball Women
25.03.23	Sanga Milano - Alpo Villafranca	55:63 ✺
18.03.23	Alpo Villafranca - Vicenza	76:74 ✺
11.03.23	Alpo Villafranca - Broni	69:53 ✺
25.02.23	Basket Costa - Alpo Villafranca	84:74 ✺
18.02.23	Alpo Villafranca - BC Bolzano	75:55 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 North Basketball Women
21.12.22	Alpo Villafranca - Carugate	70:77
19.03.22	Alpo Villafranca - Carugate	71:49
27.11.21	Carugate - Alpo Villafranca	52:70
Club Friendly Basketball Women
12.09.20	Alpo Villafranca - Carugate	73:66

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