Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A2 WOMEN - NORTH - PLAY OUT - FINAL

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Palasport (Carugate)


	Carugate		Futurosa Trieste

	1	2
	1.53	2.3
	1.63	2.18
	1.63	2.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.44)	2.21 ↓ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 128.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carugate
58%

Futurosa Trieste
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carugate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Carugate's form might have worsened.

Futurosa Trieste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Futurosa Trieste's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carugate than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Carugate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Futurosa Trieste than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Futurosa Trieste, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Carugate - Futurosa Trieste Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 66:63

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Preview

1st leg.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Carugate will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Carugate won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 145-143.

Including matches at home between the teams Carugate won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 70-74.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Carugate
Italian Serie A2 North Basketball Women
26.04.23	Vicenza - Carugate	61:43 ✺
15.04.23	Basket Costa - Carugate	74:56 ✺
04.04.23	Carugate - Alpo Villafranca	70:65 ✺
25.03.23	Carugate - BC Bolzano	55:63 ✺
18.03.23	Carugate - Futurosa Trieste	70:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLL
- Futurosa Trieste
Italian Serie A2 North Basketball Women
23.04.23	Futurosa Trieste - Ponzano	43:47 ✺
15.04.23	BC Bolzano - Futurosa Trieste	72:57 ✺
06.04.23	Futurosa Trieste - Mantova	68:74 ✺
02.04.23	Basket Costa - Futurosa Trieste	81:55 ✺
18.03.23	Carugate - Futurosa Trieste	70:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 North Basketball Women
18.03.23	Carugate - Futurosa Trieste	70:74
03.12.22	Futurosa Trieste - Carugate	69:75

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