Match Info

Proliga - Round 9

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Pavilhão Galamba Marques (Figueira da Foz)


	Casino Ginásio		Lusitânia

	1	2
	1.44	2.48
	1.4	2.58
	1.46	2.53
	1.45	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.61)	2.55 ↑ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casino Ginásio
63.9%

Lusitânia
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casino Ginásio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Casino Ginásio's performance.

Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lusitânia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casino Ginásio than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Casino Ginásio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lusitânia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Casino Ginásio - Lusitânia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:75

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Akoi A.	22. Cipalla K.
10. Fortes E.	11. Eyisi O.
1. Howell A.	10. Freitas M. (C)
4. Mcclary J.	97. Silva S.
23. Mendes A.	3. Ugwuakazi O.
Substitutes
14. Barbosa G. (C)	17. Almeida B.
6. Espada T.	4. Alves S.
12. Figueiredo L.	9. Dias A.
8. Neves B.	57. Mendes R.
9. Oliveira J.	7. Neves J.
27. Santos G.	99. Tavares D.
13. Simoes F.
Coaches
. Mota J.	. Avila J.

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Lusitânia has had a series of home games.

Ginásio is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ginásio won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 279:271. (average 93:90.3).

Including home match between the teams, Ginásio won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 92:95.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casino Ginásio
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
22.11.25	Académica Coimbra - Casino Ginásio	74:89 ✺
15.11.25	Illiabum - Casino Ginásio	83:57 ✺
08.11.25	Casino Ginásio - Maia	84:75 ✺
01.11.25	Casino Ginásio - Sampaense	76:69 ✺
25.10.25	Povoa - Casino Ginásio	87:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWL
- SC Lusitânia Basketball
Portuguese Proliga Basketball
22.11.25	Lusitânia - Sampaense	87:46 ✺
15.11.25	Lusitânia - Povoa	73:88 ✺
31.10.25	Lusitânia - Maia	69:65 ✺
25.10.25	Lusitânia - Académica Coimbra	66:56 ✺
19.10.25	Illiabum - Lusitânia	81:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Proliga Basketball
11.10.25	Lusitânia - Casino Ginásio	74:81
04.05.25	Casino Ginásio - Lusitânia	92:95
08.03.25	Lusitânia - Casino Ginásio	102:106

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