Match Info

SPAIN: Primera FEB - Round 16

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Pabellon Ciutat de Castello (Castellón de la Plana)


	Castelló		CB Lucentum Alicante

	1	2
	1.57	2.25
	1.57	2.2
	1.6	2.14	Watch
	1.68	2.09	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.61	2.22
	1.6	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.47)	2.18 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castelló
57.5%

CB Lucentum Alicante
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castelló has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castelló's form might have worsened.

CB Lucentum Alicante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CB Lucentum Alicante's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelló than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CB Lucentum Alicante than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Castelló - CB Lucentum Alicante Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Adala A.	12. Bressan G.
55. Jofresa G.	23. Kacinas M.
0. Ngom T.	2. King J.
42. Stutz F.	8. Mwema J.
11. Tate J.	13. Rodriguez A.
Substitutes
16. Etxeguren A.	4. Ceccardi S.
8. Faner J.	21. Larsen K.
13. Martinez A.	24. Llorente S.
12. Menendez J.	25. Lopez A.
14. Minlend C.	11. Moute R.
97. Okouo V.	15. Rosa I.
17. Roig A.	1. Zheng B.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Castelló won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

CB Lucentum Alicante could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Castelló will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Castelló won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 1369:1437 (average 72.1:75.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Castelló won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 620:627 (average 77.5:78.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AB Castelló
Spanish Copa Espana Basketball
07.01.25	Cartagena - Castelló	95:82 ✺
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
04.01.25	Morón - Castelló	84:79 ✺
29.12.24	Cartagena - Castelló	107:106 OT ✺
Spanish Copa Espana Basketball
23.12.24	Castelló - Cartagena	89:78 ✺
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
20.12.24	Castelló - Obradoiro CAB	73:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLLWW
- CB Lucentum Alicante
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
04.01.25	CB Lucentum Alicante - Obradoiro CAB	90:85 ✺
29.12.24	Menorca - CB Lucentum Alicante	73:71 ✺
21.12.24	CB Lucentum Alicante - Burgos	104:89 ✺
15.12.24	Estudiantes - CB Lucentum Alicante	85:70 ✺
11.12.24	CB Lucentum Alicante - Gipuzkoa Basket	95:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Basketball
11.09.24	CB Lucentum Alicante - Castelló	68:77
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
28.04.24	Castelló - CB Lucentum Alicante	70:64
13.01.24	CB Lucentum Alicante - Castelló	86:64
Club Friendly Basketball
23.09.23	CB Lucentum Alicante - Castelló	85:77
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
19.05.23	Castelló - CB Lucentum Alicante	100:81
21.01.23	CB Lucentum Alicante - Castelló	74:70
Club Friendly Basketball
25.09.22	CB Lucentum Alicante - Castelló	79:70

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