Match Info

NBB

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday

Location: Ginasio do Sesi (Caxias do Sul)

Referee: Braga F. (Bra)


	Caxias do Sul		Mogi

	1	2
	2.55	1.48	Watch
	2.3	1.5	Watch
	2.41	1.57
	2.35	1.54	Watch
	2.45	1.53
	2.3	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.21)	1.53 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 146.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caxias do Sul
39%

Mogi
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caxias do Sul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Mogi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias do Sul than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caxias do Sul, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mogi than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mogi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Caxias do Sul - Mogi Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Caxias do Sul will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Mogi will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Caxias do Sul (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 71:75

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Rafa Oliveira	50. Andre D.
44. Ruiz Diaz F.	7. Barbosa A.
19. Silva H.	11. Hinkle C.
24. Stallworth S.	13. Paulo
10. Vezaro F.	4. Ruivo F.
Substitutes
5. Augusto	5. Caldeira
13. Guilherme	6. Chagas V.
7. Kopper J.	2. Gabriel
34. Luan	31. Maicon
14. Miguel Santos	28. Pacheco R.
22. Oliveira T.	32. Vitoriano
11. Tiago
Coaches
. Barbosa R.	. Penna F.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caxias do Sul won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

Mogi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Caxias do Sul won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1334:1459. (average 70.2:76.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Caxias do Sul won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 680:706. (average 75.6:78.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caxias do Sul Basquete
Brazilian NBB
05.03.26	Caxias do Sul - União Corinthians	80:90 ✺
22.02.26	Caxias do Sul - Osasco	83:66 ✺
13.02.26	Caxias do Sul - Paulistano	80:73 ✺
11.02.26	Caxias do Sul - Pinheiros	62:69 ✺
03.02.26	Rio Claro - Caxias do Sul	79:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWWLL
- Mogi das Cruzes Basquete
Brazilian NBB
05.03.26	Mogi - Pinheiros	73:80 ✺
22.02.26	Mogi - São José dos Campos	78:68 ✺
18.02.26	Corinthians Paulista - Mogi	82:75 ✺
16.02.26	Mogi - Cruzeiro	69:70 ✺
11.02.26	Mogi - Unifacisa	67:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
29.12.25	Mogi - Caxias do Sul	71:56
09.04.25	Caxias do Sul - Mogi	82:75 OT
29.11.24	Mogi - Caxias do Sul	74:71
14.02.24	Mogi - Caxias do Sul	81:74
15.11.23	Caxias do Sul - Mogi	81:77
06.04.22	Mogi - Caxias do Sul	86:65
30.12.21	Caxias do Sul - Mogi	73:78

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