Match Info

NBB

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Ginasio Wlamir Marques (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Denilson dos Santos T. (Bra)


	Corinthians Paulista		Mogi

	1	2
	1.48	2.55	Watch
	1.46	2.42
	1.5	2.57
	1.5	2.43	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.47	2.5	Watch
	1.41	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.52)	2.52 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 151.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Corinthians Paulista
63.1%

Mogi
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Corinthians Paulista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Mogi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians Paulista than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Corinthians Paulista that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mogi than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mogi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Corinthians Paulista - Mogi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1Q - Corinthians Paulista (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Corinthians Paulista (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Corinthians Paulista (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:74

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Caue L.	50. Andre D.
15. Clark E.	7. Barbosa A.
55. Elinho	12. Johnson D.
0. Thomas D.	13. Paulo
10. Victao	4. Ruivo F.
Substitutes
4. Borges C.	5. Caldeira
3. Cardoso L.	6. Chagas V.
1. Faria T.	2. Gabriel
17. Gabriel Novaes	11. Hinkle C.
14. Munford R.	31. Maicon
8. Pereira K.	28. Pacheco R.
11. Raymundo K.	32. Vitoriano
Coaches
. Leite J.	. Penna F.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians Paulista won 4.

Corinthians Paulista is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mogi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Corinthians Paulista may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Corinthians Paulista is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Corinthians Paulista will win today's game, with odds of 1.49.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Corinthians Paulista won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1053:999. (average 81:76.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians Paulista won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 513:460. (average 85.5:76.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Corinthians Paulista Basketball
Brazilian NBB
09.02.26	Corinthians Paulista - Unifacisa	81:75 ✺
07.02.26	Corinthians Paulista - Basquete Cearense	96:76 ✺
Brazilian Super 8 Basketball
25.01.26	Minas - Corinthians Paulista	87:79 ✺
Brazilian NBB
19.01.26	Botafogo - Corinthians Paulista	73:74 ✺
17.01.26	Vasco da Gama - Corinthians Paulista	67:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWW
- Mogi das Cruzes Basquete
Brazilian NBB
16.02.26	Mogi - Cruzeiro	69:70 ✺
11.02.26	Mogi - Unifacisa	67:61 ✺
09.02.26	Mogi - Basquete Cearense	88:76 ✺
05.02.26	Botafogo - Mogi	70:69 ✺
22.01.26	Flamengo - Mogi	81:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
23.11.25	Mogi - Corinthians Paulista	67:70
15.03.25	Corinthians Paulista - Mogi	93:73
17.12.24	Mogi - Corinthians Paulista	70:72
18.01.24	Mogi - Corinthians Paulista	70:77
05.12.23	Corinthians Paulista - Mogi	73:76
25.01.22	Corinthians Paulista - Mogi	98:75
30.10.21	Mogi - Corinthians Paulista	70:69

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