Match Info

BRAZIL: NBB

Date: 24 November 2023, Friday


	Cerrado		Brasília Basquete

	1	2
	1.48	2.55	Watch
	1.48	2.45
	1.47	2.4
	1.52	2.58
	1.52	2.58
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.48	2.49	Watch
	1.48	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.57)	2.52 ↑ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerrado
62.9%

Brasília Basquete
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerrado has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Brasília Basquete has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerrado than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cerrado that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasília Basquete than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brasília Basquete could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cerrado - Brasília Basquete Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:75

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cerrado won 2.

Cerrado is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Uniceub has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Uniceub could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cerrado will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Cerrado won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 504-502.

Including matches at home between the teams Cerrado won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 271-271.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerrado Basquete
Brazilian NBB
18.11.23	Botafogo - Cerrado	74:73 ✺
15.11.23	Vasco da Gama - Cerrado	74:71 ✺
13.11.23	Flamengo - Cerrado	89:71 ✺
09.11.23	Cerrado - Caxias do Sul	77:83 OT ✺
07.11.23	Cerrado - União Corinthians	94:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLLW
- Brasília Basquete
Brazilian NBB
19.11.23	Vasco da Gama - Brasília Basquete	79:54 ✺
16.11.23	Flamengo - Brasília Basquete	92:55 ✺
14.11.23	Botafogo - Brasília Basquete	89:78 ✺
11.11.23	Brasília Basquete - Caxias do Sul	69:77 ✺
09.11.23	Brasília Basquete - União Corinthians	82:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
02.03.23	Brasília Basquete - Cerrado	86:65
26.11.22	Cerrado - Brasília Basquete	88:96
08.04.22	Cerrado - Brasília Basquete	86:90 OT (79:79)
11.12.21	Brasília Basquete - Cerrado	72:82
11.02.21	Brasília Basquete - Cerrado	73:86
06.01.21	Cerrado - Brasília Basquete	97:85

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