Match Info

LNB - Round 4

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: La Meilleraie (Cholet) 🌤️ ...


	Cholet Basket		Élan Sportif Chalonnais

	1	2
	1.65	2.12
	1.57	2.30
	1.58	2.30
	1.56	2.49
	1.58	2.31	Watch
	1.54	2.45
	1.68	2.24
	1.64	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.75)	2.31 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cholet Basket
59%

Élan Sportif Chalonnais
41%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cholet Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cholet Basket's performance.

Élan Sportif Chalonnais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Élan Sportif Chalonnais might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Cholet Basket - Élan Sportif Chalonnais Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Cazalon M.	7. Dunn D.
93. Diarra M.	33. Golden G.
18. Kidd L.	8. Hill J. (C)
21. Snell T.	41. Horne J.
23. West J. (C)	42. Ponsar C.
Substitutes
6. Diawara D.	21. Grandison J.
2. Fall A.	00. Kouakou-Heugue N.
5. Locke N.	20. Leray M.
22. Raharimanantoanina S.	1. Nadolny C.
79. Towo-Nansi A.	3. Uguak A.
13. Williams J.	2. Zizi R.
Coaches
. Lefrancois F.	. Delord E.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cholet won 3.

Cholet has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Elan Chalon have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Cholet has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1615:1701 (averaging 80.8:85.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cholet against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 781:723 goals (averaging 86.8:80.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
4	Chalon/Saone	5	4	1	459:387	0.800
9	Cholet	5	2	3	401:424	0.400

Outrights of French LNB for now

Cholet: 2.15% Chalon/Saone: 0.82%

Last Results with these Odds

Élan Sportif Chalonnais - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 47.43%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cholet Basket
Champions League Basketball
14.10.26	Cholet Basket - Rasta Vechta	84:66 ✺
French LNB
10.10.26	Cholet Basket - Élan Béarnais Pau-Orthez	85:79 ✺
Champions League Basketball
06.10.26	Hapoel Holon - Cholet Basket	79:99 ✺
French LNB
03.10.26	Nancy - Cholet Basket	76:85 ✺
27.09.26	Cholet Basket - ASVEL Basket	85:97 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWL
- Élan Sportif Chalonnais
FIBA Europe Cup
14.10.26	Körfez - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	74:65 ✺
French LNB
10.10.26	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Nancy	108:67 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
07.10.26	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Manchester Basketball	79:72 ✺
French LNB
03.10.26	JL Bourg-en-Bresse - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	90:77 ✺
26.09.26	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Limoges	82:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French LNB
24.01.26	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Cholet Basket	87:77
18.10.25	Cholet Basket - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	98:79
05.04.25	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Cholet Basket	105:72
30.11.24	Cholet Basket - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	88:74
11.05.24	Cholet Basket - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	84:77
23.12.23	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Cholet Basket	79:81
06.03.21	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Cholet Basket	84:79 OT (70:68)

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