Match Info

LNB - Round 23

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Rhénus Sport (Strasbourg)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	DAZN France


	Strasbourg		Cholet Basket

	1	2
	1.74	1.95
	1.78	1.98	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.83	1.98
	1.76	1.96	Watch
	1.75	2.05
	1.82	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.65)	1.99 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strasbourg
52.9%

Cholet Basket
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

43.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Cholet Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Strasbourg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cholet Basket than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cholet Basket, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Strasbourg - Cholet Basket Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cholet will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Brown G.	23. Agbo C.
99. Labeyrie L.	93. Diarra M.
1. Joseph N.	8. McNeace J.
11. N'Doye A.	11. Ayayi G.
3. Keene M.	44. Campbell T. (C)
Substitutes
4. Davis M.	7. De Sousa N.
12. Gregg B.	6. Diawara D.
23. Maille J. (C)	31. Gbiegba S.
98. Merlin E.	21. Justice K.
32. Traore F.	5. Locke N.
21. Trefle J.	79. Towo-Nansi A.
97. Wembanyama O.	22. Wahad Q.
Coaches
. Gailitis J.	. Lefrancois F.

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ LNB (Play~in: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 2.

Recent form of Strasbourg has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cholet has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Strasbourg won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1712:1667. (average 85.6:83.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Strasbourg won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 847:816. (average 84.7:81.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
7	Cholet	3	2	1	255:252	0.667
9	Strasbourg	2	1	1	159:156	0.500

Last Results with these Odds

Cholet Basket - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 43.24%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Strasbourg IG Basket
French LNB
15.03.26	Nanterre - Strasbourg	102:88 ✺
07.03.26	Strasbourg - Dijon	96:98 OT ✺
French Leaders Cup Basketball
20.02.26	AS Monaco Basket - Strasbourg	90:89 ✺
French Cup Basketball
17.02.26	Le Mans - Strasbourg	88:74 ✺
French LNB
14.02.26	Strasbourg - JL Bourg-en-Bresse	87:83 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLLW
- Cholet Basket
French LNB
14.03.26	Cholet Basket - Le Portel	105:58 ✺
07.03.26	AS Monaco Basket - Cholet Basket	89:79 ✺
French Leaders Cup Basketball
21.02.26	AS Monaco Basket - Cholet Basket	115:83 ✺
20.02.26	ASVEL Basket - Cholet Basket	82:93 ✺
French LNB
13.02.26	Cholet Basket - Gravelines	89:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

French Cup Basketball
03.12.25	Strasbourg - Cholet Basket	93:85
French LNB
27.09.25	Cholet Basket - Strasbourg	92:74
02.02.25	Cholet Basket - Strasbourg	105:75
07.12.24	Strasbourg - Cholet Basket	83:94
Champions League Basketball
13.03.24	Strasbourg - Cholet Basket	96:84
French Cup Basketball
13.02.24	Strasbourg - Cholet Basket	87:77
French LNB
10.02.24	Strasbourg - Cholet Basket	79:76

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