Match Info

LNB - Round 4

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: La Meilleraie (Cholet)


	Cholet Basket		Élan Sportif Chalonnais

	1	2
	1.53	2.6	Watch
	1.55	2.5
	1.46	2.77
	1.50	2.40	Watch
	1.51	2.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.36)	2.58 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 173.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cholet Basket
63.1%

Élan Sportif Chalonnais
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cholet Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cholet Basket's form might have worsened.

Élan Sportif Chalonnais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Élan Sportif Chalonnais's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cholet Basket than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Élan Sportif Chalonnais than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Cholet Basket - Élan Sportif Chalonnais Predictions

Users Predictions: Cholet Basket will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cholet Basket will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Ayayi G.	40. Cuthbertson Z.
44. Campbell T.	3. Darling N.
93. Diarra M.	13. Gaudoux L.
6. Diawara D.	8. Hill J.
8. McNeace J.	25. Mutts J.
Substitutes
23. Agbo C.	2. Anochili-Killen O.
7. De Sousa N.	6. Choupas Y.
2. Kountz D.	7. Kante J.
15. Miles I.	1. Nadolny C.
79. Towo-Nansi A.	0. Naji A.
22. Wahad Q.	10. Riethauser K.
9. Wilamowski J.	22. Tonnellier Y.
Coaches
. Lefrancois F.	. Delord E.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cholet won 3.

Cholet has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Elan Chalon is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Cholet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cholet will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cholet won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1604:1720. (average 80.2:86).

Including home matches between the teams, Cholet won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 847:829. (average 84.7:82.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cholet Basket
Champions League Basketball
14.10.25	Bursaspor - Cholet Basket	72:84 ✺
French LNB
11.10.25	Dijon - Cholet Basket	76:64 ✺
Champions League Basketball
07.10.25	Joventut Badalona - Cholet Basket	91:73 ✺
French LNB
03.10.25	Cholet Basket - Boulazac	92:81 ✺
27.09.25	Cholet Basket - Strasbourg	92:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLWW
- Élan Sportif Chalonnais
Champions League Basketball
14.10.25	Nymburk - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	95:97 OT ✺
French LNB
11.10.25	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Saint-Quentin	84:82 ✺
Champions League Basketball
08.10.25	ALBA Berlin - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	76:81 ✺
French LNB
05.10.25	AS Monaco Basket - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	99:104 ✺
30.09.25	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Nanterre	78:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French LNB
05.04.25	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Cholet Basket	105:72
30.11.24	Cholet Basket - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	88:74
11.05.24	Cholet Basket - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	84:77
23.12.23	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Cholet Basket	79:81
06.03.21	Élan Sportif Chalonnais - Cholet Basket	84:79 OT (70:68)
29.09.20	Cholet Basket - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	91:73
29.02.20	Cholet Basket - Élan Sportif Chalonnais	93:99

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