Match Info

EUROPE: ABA League - Round 4

Date: 9 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: Kosarkaski centar Drazen Petrovic (Zagreb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovenia	Arena Sport 1


	Cibona		Krka

	1	2
	1.5	2.35
	1.49	2.45	Watch
	1.5	2.59
	1.54	2.36	Watch
	1.44	2.62
	1.49	2.5
	1.49	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.35)	2.47 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cibona
62.4%

Krka
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cibona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Krka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cibona than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cibona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Krka than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Krka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cibona - Krka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Radovcic K.	11. Persons T.
2. Rocak T.	55. Cebasek J.
42. Zanna T.	22. Skeens B.
14. Jok P.	20. Cerkvenik M.
12. Barber A.	17. Span J.
Substitutes
8. Bundovic F.	7. Bacvic N.
24. Katanovic B.	9. Garcia M.
13. Majcunic I.	13. Jurkovic R.
6. Perasovic I.	47. Klobucar J.
7. Skoric L.	3. Mirtic T.
9. Smajlagic S.	12. Plut B.
1. Vukovic D.	24. Smrekar Z.
Coaches
. Thomas C.	. Jakara D.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cibona won 4.

Recent matches Cibona is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Krka is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cibona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cibona will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Cibona won 16 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1664:1430 (average 83.2:71.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Cibona won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 848:701 (average 84.8:70.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Cibona
Adriatic League
06.10.24	Partizan Belgrade - Cibona	113:78 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
04.10.24	Cibona - Virtus Zagreb	68:75 ✺
Adriatic League
01.10.24	Cibona - Studentski Centar	75:69 ✺
Croatian Premijer Liga Basketball
28.09.24	Dubrovnik - Cibona	79:84 ✺
Adriatic League
20.09.24	Cibona - KK Zadar	69:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWWL
- KK Krka
Adriatic League
05.10.24	Krka - Spartak Subotica	87:89 ✺
Slovenian Liga Basketball
02.10.24	Triglav Kranj - Krka	57:90 ✺
Adriatic League
30.09.24	Borac Čačak - Krka	80:71 ✺
Slovenian Liga Basketball
25.09.24	Krka - Podcetrtek	76:83 ✺
Adriatic League
22.09.24	Krka - Mega Basket	70:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Adriatic League
10.02.24	Cibona - Krka	91:63
13.11.23	Krka - Cibona	54:72
Club Friendly Basketball
20.09.23	Krka - Cibona	80:66
18.09.22	Cibona - Krka	79:77
Adriatic League
11.02.22	Krka - Cibona	52:87
08.11.21	Cibona - Krka	90:52
31.01.21	Cibona - Krka	78:69

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