The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cimarrones del Chocó 42.1%
Corsarios de Cartagena 57.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.7%
44.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.6%
45.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cimarrones del Chocó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cimarrones del Chocó's form might have worsened.
Corsarios de Cartagena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Corsarios de Cartagena's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cimarrones del Chocó than the current prediction. (+12.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cimarrones del Chocó, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corsarios de Cartagena than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Corsarios de Cartagena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
Cimarrones del Chocó - Corsarios de Cartagena Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Cimarrones will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Corsarios will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:80
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Canaval M.
15. Carmona A.
25. Colina Y.
21. Gunn R.
55. De Leon A. (C)
11. Moran N.
1. Spencer D.
12. Mosquera H.
99. Wineglass M.
4. Paletta N. (C)
Substitutes
12. Bejarano A.
19. Mosquera Y.
22. Fernandez M.
13. Perez J.
33. Mena O.
45. Torres R.
5. Mosquera W.
24. Weatherspoon J.
10. Padilla J.
20. Salas H.
21. Tavares W.
Coaches
. Moreno E.
. Pighin M.
Preview
Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
Corsarios de Cartagena could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Cimarrones del Chocó have a series of guest games.
Recently Corsarios de Cartagena have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Cimarrones del Chocó won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 272-300.
Including matches at home between the teams Cimarrones del Chocó won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 162-152.
Watch
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Canaval M. 
Carmona A. 
Gunn R. 
De Leon A. (C) 
Paletta N. (C) 
100% bonus on 1st bet up to €200 in free bet
