Match Info

Serie A2 - Round 27

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: PalaGesteco (Cividale del Friuli)


	Cividale		Basket Pesaro

	1	2
	1.65	2.12
	1.65	2.03
	1.75	2.09
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.68	2.06	Watch
	1.64	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.69)	2.08 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cividale
55.2%

Basket Pesaro
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cividale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Basket Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cividale than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cividale that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basket Pesaro than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Basket Pesaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cividale - Basket Pesaro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Ferrari A.	21. Bucarelli L.
33. Freeman D.	7. Maretto O.
13. Marangon L.	22. Miniotas R.
8. Mastellari M.	15. Tambone M.
3. Redivo L.	18. Virginio N.
Substitutes
19. Berti M.	5. Bertini A.
90. Cesana L.	13. De Laurentiis Q.
11. Costi C.	25. Fainke E.
10. Drusian N.	2. Johnson J.
12. Norbedo J.	1. Trucchetti S.
14. Pejovic F.
9. Rota E.
Coaches
. Pillastrini S.	. Leka S.

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cividale won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 253:245. (average 84.3:81.7).

Including home match between the teams, Cividale won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 97:86.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
6	Pesaro	2	2	0	183:165	4
10	Cividale	2	1	1	154:168	2

Last Results with these Odds

Cividale - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 54.45%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UEB Cividale
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
07.02.26	Urania Milano - Cividale	90:80 ✺
31.01.26	Cividale - Basket Torino	72:62 ✺
25.01.26	Verona - Cividale	74:80 OT ✺
21.01.26	Cividale - Brindisi	81:73 ✺
17.01.26	Baltur Cento - Cividale	82:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWWWW
- Basket Pesaro
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
07.02.26	Baltur Cento - Basket Pesaro	74:80 ✺
30.01.26	Basket Pesaro - Brindisi	90:82 ✺
25.01.26	Basket Pesaro - Roseto Sharks	80:79 ✺
21.01.26	Avellino Basket - Basket Pesaro	93:73 ✺
18.01.26	Basket Pesaro - Blu Basket Bergamo	79:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
23.11.25	Basket Pesaro - Cividale	68:79
08.02.25	Basket Pesaro - Cividale	91:77
05.01.25	Cividale - Basket Pesaro	97:86

Cividale - Basket Pesaro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide