Match Info

Serie A2 - Round 22

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vitrifrigo Arena (Pesaro) 🌤️ ...


	Basket Pesaro		Blu Basket Bergamo

	1	2
	1.3	3.25
	1.26	3.3
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.3	3.21	Watch
	1.3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.3)	3.24 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basket Pesaro
71.5%

Blu Basket Bergamo
28.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

70.8%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basket Pesaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Blu Basket Bergamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Pesaro than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Basket Pesaro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blu Basket Bergamo than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Blu Basket Bergamo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Basket Pesaro - Blu Basket Bergamo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pesaro (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Bucarelli L.	12. Bogliardi M.
7. Maretto O.	7. Harrison D.
22. Miniotas R.	11. Loro A.
15. Tambone M.	17. Udom M.
18. Virginio N.	1. Williams J.
Substitutes
5. Bertini A.	4. Bosso L.
13. De Laurentiis Q.	21. Lombardi E.
25. Fainke E.	14. Nobili N.
20. Felder K.	10. Piccirilli A.
16. Reginato P.	20. Pollone M.
8. Sakine E. Y.
Coaches
. Leka S.	. Ramagli A.

Preview

Pesaro is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Blu Basket's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pesaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Pesaro is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Pesaro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 101:83.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Pesaro	6	5	1	499:459	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Pesaro
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
11.01.26	Ruvo di Puglia - Basket Pesaro	90:95 ✺
04.01.26	Basket Pesaro - Urania Milano	73:68 ✺
28.12.25	Verona - Basket Pesaro	88:79 ✺
21.12.25	Basket Pesaro - Rieti	91:73 ✺
14.12.25	Basket Pesaro - Baltur Cento	80:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWW
- Blu Basket Bergamo
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
15.01.26	Mestre - Blu Basket Bergamo	85:90 ✺
10.01.26	Blu Basket Bergamo - Libertas Livorno	68:76 ✺
04.01.26	Scafati - Blu Basket Bergamo	78:59 ✺
28.12.25	Blu Basket Bergamo - Forlì	93:79 ✺
21.12.25	Basket Torino - Blu Basket Bergamo	99:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
15.10.25	Blu Basket Bergamo - Basket Pesaro	83:101

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