Match Info

NBA

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday

Location: Rocket Arena (Cleveland, OH)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Cyprus	Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	6'eren
Europe	Go3 Sport 2 Baltic
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 5
Hungary	Sport 1
Italy	Sky Sport Uno
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	ESPN 3
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Sweden	Kanal 9, TV6
World	NBA Global League Pass


	Cleveland Cavaliers		Oklahoma City Thunder

	1	2
	2.85	1.44	Watch
	2.8	1.44
	2.71	1.51	Watch
	2.75	1.45	Watch
	3.01	1.45
	3	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (1.89)	1.45 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 231.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cleveland Cavaliers
33.7%

Oklahoma City Thunder
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cleveland Cavaliers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cleveland Cavaliers's form might have worsened.

Oklahoma City Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oklahoma City Thunder's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cleveland Cavaliers than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cleveland Cavaliers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oklahoma City Thunder than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oklahoma City Thunder, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers - Oklahoma City Thunder Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Cleveland will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Oklahoma City will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cleveland: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5.5, OT - Cleveland (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 235.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cleveland Cavaliers will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Cleveland (votes: 16 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 113:119

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Wade D.	21. Wiggins A.
4. Mobley E.	6. Williams J.
31. Allen J.	7. Holmgren C.
20. Tyson J.	5. Dort L.
45. Mitchell D.	2. Gilgeous-Alexander S.
Substitutes
2. Ball L.	9. Caruso A.
3. Bryant T.	13. Dieng O.
12. Hunter D.	11. Joe I.
22. Nance L.	25. Mitchell A.
9. Porter C.	22. Wallace C.
24. Proctor T.	34. Williams K.
35. Tomlin N.	3. Youngblood C.
Coaches
. Atkinson K.	. Daigneault M.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cleveland won 1.

In recent matches, Cleveland has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Oklahoma City is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Oklahoma City is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Cleveland: Garland D. (Foot Injury) Merrill S. (Hand Injury) Strus M. (Foot Injury) Wade D. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Oklahoma City: Hartenstein I. (Calf Injury) Sorber T. (Knee Injury) Topic N. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Oklahoma City: Williams J. (Thigh Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cleveland won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 2166:2200. (average 108.3:110).

Including home matches between the teams, Cleveland won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1066:1091. (average 106.6:109.1).

Outrights of NBA for now

Oklahoma City Thunder: 21.69% Cleveland Cavaliers: 3.23%

Last Results with these Odds

Cleveland Cavaliers - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA
16.01.26	Philadelphia 76ers - Cleveland Cavaliers	115:117 ✺
14.01.26	Philadelphia 76ers - Cleveland Cavaliers	107:133 ✺
12.01.26	Cleveland Cavaliers - Utah Jazz	112:123 ✺
10.01.26	Cleveland Cavaliers - Minnesota Timberwolves	146:134 ✺
08.01.26	Minnesota Timberwolves - Cleveland Cavaliers	131:122 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWLWL
- Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA
17.01.26	Miami Heat - Oklahoma City Thunder	122:120 ✺
15.01.26	Houston Rockets - Oklahoma City Thunder	91:111 ✺
13.01.26	Oklahoma City Thunder - San Antonio Spurs	119:98 ✺
11.01.26	Oklahoma City Thunder - Miami Heat	124:112 ✺
09.01.26	Memphis Grizzlies - Oklahoma City Thunder	116:117 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NBA
16.01.25	Oklahoma City Thunder - Cleveland Cavaliers	134:114
08.01.25	Cleveland Cavaliers - Oklahoma City Thunder	129:122
08.11.23	Oklahoma City Thunder - Cleveland Cavaliers	128:120
27.10.23	Cleveland Cavaliers - Oklahoma City Thunder	105:108
27.01.23	Oklahoma City Thunder - Cleveland Cavaliers	112:100
10.12.22	Cleveland Cavaliers - Oklahoma City Thunder	110:102
22.01.22	Cleveland Cavaliers - Oklahoma City Thunder	94:87

Cleveland Cavaliers - Oklahoma City Thunder: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide