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Current Win Probability
Memphis Grizzlies 34.4%
Oklahoma City Thunder 65.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38%
62%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.6%
59.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Memphis Grizzlies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Oklahoma City Thunder has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Memphis Grizzlies than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Memphis Grizzlies, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oklahoma City Thunder than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oklahoma City Thunder, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
31.8%
0%
68.2%
Memphis Grizzlies - Oklahoma City Thunder Predictions
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Memphis will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Oklahoma City will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Oklahoma City: 46.5% – 86.9%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Memphis (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Oklahoma City (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 112:118
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
0. Wells J.
21. Wiggins A.
8. Jackson J.
8. Williams J.
31. Landale J.
15. Carlson B.
23. Coward C.
5. Dort L.
24. Spencer C.
25. Mitchell A.
Substitutes
7. Aldama S.
23. Barnhizer B.
3. Caldwell-Pope K.
9. Caruso A.
15. Clarke B.
13. Dieng O.
45. Jackson G.
11. Joe I.
35. Koloko C. J.
6. Williams J.
46. Konchar J.
34. Williams K.
5. Williams V.
3. Youngblood C.
Coaches
. Iisalo T.
. Daigneault M.
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Memphis won 1.
Memphis is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Oklahoma City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Memphis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Oklahoma City could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Memphis: Clarke B.
(Calf Injury)
Coward C.
(Ankle Injury)
Edey Z.
(Ankle Injury)
Jerome T.
(Calf Injury)
Konchar J.
(Hand Injury)
Morant J.
(Calf Injury)
Pippen Jr S.
(Toe Injury)
There will not play in Oklahoma City: Caruso A.
(Back Injury)
Dieng O.
(Calf Injury)
Gilgeous-Alexander S.
(Ankle Injury)
Hartenstein I.
(Calf Injury)
Holmgren C.
(Leg Injury)
Sorber T.
(Knee Injury)
Topic N.
(Groin Injury)
Wallace C.
(Toe Injury)
Williams J.
(Heel Injury)
There are questionable in Memphis: Williams V.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Memphis won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 2048:2259. (average 102.4:113).
Including home matches between the teams, Memphis won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 894:920. (average 111.8:115).
Outrights of NBA for now
Oklahoma City Thunder: 21.48% Memphis Grizzlies: 0.19%
Last Results with these Odds
Memphis Grizzlies - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 37.97%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Oklahoma City Thunder - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 62.03%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.