The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cocodrilos de Caracas 53%
Spartans de Caracas 47%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.3%
50.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.3%
52.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cocodrilos de Caracas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Spartans de Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cocodrilos de Caracas than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cocodrilos de Caracas that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartans de Caracas than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartans de Caracas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cocodrilos de Caracas - Spartans de Caracas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:83
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
11. Bethelmy L. (C)
0. Almanza L.
4. Colon L.
8. Bautista R.
19. Gomez J.
21. Griffin M.
15. Miller J.
77. Palacios N.
44. Montero L.
1. Suero J.
Substitutes
12. Baez E.
34. Aponte D.
41. Bernal E.
22. Garcia C.
8. Edwards R.
4. Garcia K.
29. Finol J.
25. Henriquez A.
27. Gonzalez R.
13. Rojas Rodriguez J. (C)
22. Noguera A.
2. Rudas M.
18. Roca R.
3. Sojo J.
Coaches
. Madrid A.
. Berroteran M.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cocodrilos won 0.
Cocodrilos is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Spartans has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Spartans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Cocodrilos won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1023:1027. (average 78.7:79).
Including home matches between the teams, Cocodrilos won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 460:441. (average 76.7:73.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Spartans de Caracas - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 50.68%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.