Match Info

LNB

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Polideportivo La Pintana (Santiago de Chile)


	Colo Colo		Sportiva Italiana

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.85
	2.55	1.41	Watch
	2.43	1.5	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.45	1.51
	2.55	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (1.91)	1.57 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colo Colo
40.5%

Sportiva Italiana
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

48.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colo Colo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Colo Colo's form might have worsened.

Sportiva Italiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sportiva Italiana's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo Colo than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Colo Colo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportiva Italiana than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportiva Italiana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Colo Colo - Sportiva Italiana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Britos A.	14. Aguilera B.
22. Herrera B.	23. Hernandez G.
5. Mckinney D.	17. Herrera F. (C)
11. Serrano M.	18. Musrri L.
17. Silva S.	15. Wallace D.
Substitutes
25. Atala F.	75. Barra Rubilar J.
4. Collao J.	21. Duran Rojas I.
8. Fernandez S.	9. Garcia Mewe J.
12. Navarrete J.	2. Payton-Clottey E.
23. Schuler J. (C)	11. Rios Venegas C.
21. Unda B.	30. Vargas N.
88. Urrutia C.	22. Vera Gonzalez M.
Coaches
. Menchaca E.	. Pozo G.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Colo Colo won 2.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Colo Colo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Colo Colo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 554:604 (average 79.1:86.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Colo Colo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 248:264 (average 82.7:88).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Colo Colo Basketball
Chilean LNB
27.03.25	Puente Alto - Colo Colo	97:77 ✺
23.03.25	Colo Colo - Leones de Quilpue	73:81 ✺
22.03.25	Colo Colo - Universidad Católica	67:58 ✺
20.03.25	Leones de Quilpue - Colo Colo	81:79 ✺
16.03.25	Colo Colo - Universidad De Concepción	79:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL
- Sportiva Italiana
Chilean LNB
27.03.25	Leones de Quilpue - Sportiva Italiana	77:64 ✺
22.03.25	Sportiva Italiana - Español de Talca	99:72 ✺
20.03.25	Universidad Católica - Sportiva Italiana	86:66 ✺
18.03.25	Sportiva Italiana - Leones de Quilpue	84:90 ✺
16.03.25	Deportivo Valdivia - Sportiva Italiana	94:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean LNB
28.02.25	Sportiva Italiana - Colo Colo	93:84
31.01.25	Colo Colo - Sportiva Italiana	90:103
17.01.25	Sportiva Italiana - Colo Colo	100:85
Chilean Copa Basketball
08.11.24	Sportiva Italiana - Colo Colo	63:77
01.11.24	Colo Colo - Sportiva Italiana	97:85
Chilean LNB 2
19.08.23	Colo Colo - Sportiva Italiana	61:76
15.08.23	Sportiva Italiana - Colo Colo	84:60

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