Match Info

CHILE: LNB

Date: 26 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Fortín Prat (Valparaíso)


	Sportiva Italiana		Leones de Quilpue

	1	2
			Watch
	1.88	1.78	Watch
	1.76	1.9
	1.78	1.95	Watch
	1.91	1.8
	1.65	1.96
	1.88	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.91)	1.86 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportiva Italiana
50.7%

Leones de Quilpue
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportiva Italiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Leones de Quilpue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportiva Italiana than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones de Quilpue than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Sportiva Italiana - Leones de Quilpue Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Aguilera B.	19. Carrion I. (C)
23. Hernandez G.	60. Evans J.
17. Herrera F. (C)	25. Johnson R.
2. Payton-Clottey E.	1. Jones D.
11. Rios Venegas C.	17. Lugo E.
Substitutes
75. Barra Rubilar J.	10. Allegrini P.
21. Duran Rojas I.	5. Diaz A.
9. Garcia Mewe J.	18. Garcia D.
13. Herrera M.	28. Garcia G.
20. Negrete Muga O.	3. Jones T.
30. Vargas N.	7. Mijares S.
Coaches
. Pozo G.	. Samaniego J.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sportiva Italiana won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Sportiva Italiana won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 885:1035 (average 63.2:73.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Sportiva Italiana won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 366:423 (average 61:70.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportiva Italiana
Chilean LNB
09.02.25	Español de Talca - Sportiva Italiana	74:77 ✺
07.02.25	Sportiva Italiana - Universidad Católica	100:73 ✺
02.02.25	Sportiva Italiana - Puente Alto	97:98 ✺
31.01.25	Colo Colo - Sportiva Italiana	90:103 ✺
29.01.25	Leones de Quilpue - Sportiva Italiana	76:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLWL
- Leones de Quilpue
Chilean LNB
11.02.25	Leones de Quilpue - Puente Alto	85:79 ✺
09.02.25	Leones de Quilpue - Puente Alto	70:61 ✺
Champions League Americas Basketball
06.02.25	Leones de Quilpue - Instituto Córdoba	72:84 ✺
05.02.25	Franca - Leones de Quilpue	87:75 ✺
Chilean LNB
02.02.25	Universidad Católica - Leones de Quilpue	68:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean LNB
29.01.25	Leones de Quilpue - Sportiva Italiana	76:64
Chilean Copa Basketball
11.12.24	Leones de Quilpue - Sportiva Italiana	86:68
10.12.24	Sportiva Italiana - Leones de Quilpue	84:88
08.12.24	Sportiva Italiana - Leones de Quilpue	85:84
06.12.24	Leones de Quilpue - Sportiva Italiana	63:81
05.12.24	Leones de Quilpue - Sportiva Italiana	82:51
30.11.24	Sportiva Italiana - Leones de Quilpue	78:72

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