Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 6 December 2022, Tuesday


	Columbia Lions		UMBC Retrievers

	1	2
	3.8	1.28
	3.8	1.27
	3.75	1.27
	3.55	1.25
	3.48	1.32
	3.75	1.25
	3.48	1.27	Watch
	3.8	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (2.46)	1.27 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Columbia Lions
25.7%

UMBC Retrievers
74.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

57.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Columbia Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Columbia Lions's form might have worsened.

UMBC Retrievers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UMBC Retrievers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Columbia Lions than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Columbia Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UMBC Retrievers than the current prediction. (-16.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for UMBC Retrievers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Columbia Lions - UMBC Retrievers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:81

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Preview

Columbia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches UMBC is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Columbia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Columbia have a series of guest games.

UMBC will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Columbia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 60-98.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Columbia Lions basketball
NCAA College Basketball
03.12.22	Columbia Lions - New Hampshire Wildcats	56:52 ✺
28.11.22	Marist Red Foxes - Columbia Lions	52:39 ✺
26.11.22	Providence Friars - Columbia Lions	78:64 ✺
23.11.22	Binghamton Bearcats - Columbia Lions	81:79 ✺
18.11.22	Maine Black Bears - Columbia Lions	93:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLL
- UMBC Retrievers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
03.12.22	Lehigh Mountain Hawks - UMBC Retrievers	62:88 ✺
30.11.22	UMBC Retrievers - Coppin State Eagles	109:82 ✺
26.11.22	Georgetown Hoyas - UMBC Retrievers	79:70 ✺
22.11.22	UNC Greensboro Spartans - UMBC Retrievers	76:72 ✺
20.11.22	UMBC Retrievers - Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	78:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
01.12.21	UMBC Retrievers - Columbia Lions	98:60

Columbia Lions - UMBC Retrievers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide