Match Info

NCAA - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 March 2026, Friday


	Connecticut Huskies		Michigan State Spartans

	1	2
	1.72	2.05
	1.7	2.05
	1.76	2.19
	1.72	2.03	Watch
	1.7	2.05
	1.73	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.91)	2.06 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 134.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Connecticut Huskies
54.5%

Michigan State Spartans
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Connecticut Huskies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Connecticut Huskies's performance.

Michigan State Spartans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Michigan State Spartans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Connecticut Huskies than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michigan State Spartans than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.5%	0%	90.5%

Connecticut Huskies - Michigan State Spartans Predictions

Users Predictions: Michigan State Spartans will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Michigan State Spartans will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 68:66

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Preview

Connecticut is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Michigan State has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Michigan State may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Connecticut won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 243:257. (average 60.8:64.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Connecticut won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 123:139. (average 61.5:69.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Connecticut Huskies basketball
NCAA College Basketball
22.03.26	Connecticut Huskies - UCLA Bruins	73:57 ✺
20.03.26	Connecticut Huskies - Furman Paladins	82:71 ✺
14.03.26	St. Johns Red Storm - Connecticut Huskies	72:52 ✺
13.03.26	Connecticut Huskies - Georgetown Hoyas	67:51 ✺
12.03.26	Connecticut Huskies - Xavier Musketeers	93:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLWW
- Michigan State Spartans basketball
NCAA College Basketball
21.03.26	Michigan State Spartans - Louisville Cardinals	77:69 ✺
19.03.26	Michigan State Spartans - North Dakota State Bison	92:67 ✺
13.03.26	Michigan State Spartans - UCLA Bruins	84:88 ✺
08.03.26	Michigan Wolverines - Michigan State Spartans	90:80 ✺
05.03.26	Michigan State Spartans - Rutgers Scarlet Knights	91:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
25.11.21	Michigan State Spartans - Connecticut Huskies	64:60
25.11.17	Connecticut Huskies - Michigan State Spartans	57:77
30.03.14	Michigan State Spartans - Connecticut Huskies	54:60
09.11.12	Connecticut Huskies - Michigan State Spartans	66:62

Connecticut Huskies - Michigan State Spartans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide