Match Info
NBB - Play Offs - Quarter-finalsDate: 9 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Ginasio Wlamir Marques (Sao Paulo)
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Corinthians Paulista |
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Minas |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 173.75
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
- The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Corinthians Paulista
53.2% | Minas
46.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Corinthians Paulista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Minas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians Paulista than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Corinthians Paulista that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minas than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Minas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:88 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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23.  Caue L.
| 20.  Arengo J.
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15.  Clark E.
| 5. Fischer R.
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55. Elinho
| 23. Rafael Rachel
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0. Thomas D.
| 15. Silva W.
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10. Victao
| 0. Williams J.
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| Substitutes |
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4. Borges C.
| 2. Fernando
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3. Cardoso L.
| 8. Kuehne M.
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1.  Faria T.
| 1. McCree E.
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17. Gabriel Novaes
| 24. Paranhos A.
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14. Munford R.
| 10.  Rodriguez L.
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8. Pereira K.
| 27. Yuri E.
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11. Raymundo K.
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| Coaches |
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. Leite J.
| . Costa L.
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Preview
Series tied 1-1. Third leg.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Corinthians Paulista won 1.Both teams have been playing unpredictably. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians Paulista won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1540:1609. (average 77:80.5).Including home matches between the teams, Corinthians Paulista won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 705:771. (average 78.3:85.7).
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Outrights of Brazilian NBB for now
Minas: 3.44% Corinthians Paulista: 3.03%
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian NBB | | | 07.05.26 | Corinthians Paulista - Minas | 91:97 | | 04.05.26 | Minas - Corinthians Paulista | 90:100 | | Brazilian Super 8 Basketball | | | 25.01.26 | Minas - Corinthians Paulista | 87:79 | | Brazilian NBB | | | 08.01.26 | Corinthians Paulista - Minas | 74:92 | | 18.10.25 | Minas - Corinthians Paulista | 83:81 | | 13.02.25 | Minas - Corinthians Paulista | 63:72 | | 31.10.24 | Corinthians Paulista - Minas | 60:86 |
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