Match Info

NBB - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Arena Minas Tenis Clube (Belo Horizonte)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN 4


	Minas		Corinthians Paulista

	1	2
	1.45	2.6	Watch
	1.36	2.75
	1.32	3.06
	1.32	3.13	Watch
	1.4	2.88
	1.39	2.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.34)	2.87 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minas
67.6%

Corinthians Paulista
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Corinthians Paulista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minas than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians Paulista than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Minas - Corinthians Paulista Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 92:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Williams J.	0. Thomas D.
23. Rafael Rachel	10. Victao
15. Silva W.	23. Caue L.
20. Arengo J.	15. Clark E.
5. Fischer R.	55. Elinho
Substitutes
2. Fernando	4. Borges C.
55. Frazier T.	3. Cardoso L.
8. Kuehne M.	1. Faria T.
1. McCree E.	17. Gabriel Novaes
24. Paranhos A.	14. Munford R.
10. Rodriguez L.	8. Pereira K.
27. Yuri E.	11. Raymundo K.
Coaches
. Costa L.	. Leite J.

Preview

Corinthians Paulista leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minas won 3.

In recent matches, Minas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Corinthians Paulista is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Minas is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Minas won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1634:1574. (average 81.7:78.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Minas won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 766:766. (average 76.6:76.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minas Basketball
Brazilian NBB
09.05.26	Corinthians Paulista - Minas	103:97 ✺
07.05.26	Corinthians Paulista - Minas	91:97 ✺
04.05.26	Minas - Corinthians Paulista	90:100 ✺
29.04.26	Minas - Cruzeiro	103:93 ✺
26.04.26	Cruzeiro - Minas	74:101 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWW
- Corinthians Paulista Basketball
Brazilian NBB
09.05.26	Corinthians Paulista - Minas	103:97 ✺
07.05.26	Corinthians Paulista - Minas	91:97 ✺
04.05.26	Minas - Corinthians Paulista	90:100 ✺
29.04.26	Corinthians Paulista - Unifacisa	81:71 ✺
26.04.26	Unifacisa - Corinthians Paulista	73:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
09.05.26	Corinthians Paulista - Minas	103:97
07.05.26	Corinthians Paulista - Minas	91:97
04.05.26	Minas - Corinthians Paulista	90:100
Brazilian Super 8 Basketball
25.01.26	Minas - Corinthians Paulista	87:79
Brazilian NBB
08.01.26	Corinthians Paulista - Minas	74:92
18.10.25	Minas - Corinthians Paulista	83:81
13.02.25	Minas - Corinthians Paulista	63:72

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