Match Info

NCAA

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Creighton Blue Jays		Villanova Wildcats

	1	2
	2.15	1.67
	2.18	1.63
	2.13	1.75
	2.01	1.73	Watch
	2.15	1.7
	2.09	1.69
	2.15	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.45)	1.7 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 144.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Creighton Blue Jays
44.5%

Villanova Wildcats
55.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.2%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Creighton Blue Jays has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Creighton Blue Jays's performance.

Villanova Wildcats has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villanova Wildcats might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Creighton Blue Jays than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villanova Wildcats than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Creighton Blue Jays - Villanova Wildcats Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 71:73

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Creighton won 4.

Creighton is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Villanova is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Creighton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Villanova will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Creighton won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1392:1426. (average 69.6:71.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Creighton won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 696:648. (average 77.3:72).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Creighton: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Creighton Blue Jays basketball
NCAA College Basketball
11.02.26	DePaul Blue Demons - Creighton Blue Jays	72:71 ✺
07.02.26	Creighton Blue Jays - Seton Hall Pirates	69:68 ✺
04.02.26	Georgetown Hoyas - Creighton Blue Jays	76:68 ✺
31.01.26	Creighton Blue Jays - Connecticut Huskies	58:85 ✺
27.01.26	Marquette Golden Eagles - Creighton Blue Jays	86:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLLL
- Villanova Wildcats basketball
NCAA College Basketball
10.02.26	Villanova Wildcats - Marquette Golden Eagles	77:74 ✺
07.02.26	Georgetown Hoyas - Villanova Wildcats	73:80 ✺
04.02.26	Villanova Wildcats - Seton Hall Pirates	72:53 ✺
30.01.26	Villanova Wildcats - Providence Friars	87:73 ✺
24.01.26	Connecticut Huskies - Villanova Wildcats	75:67 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
07.01.26	Villanova Wildcats - Creighton Blue Jays	72:76
01.02.25	Villanova Wildcats - Creighton Blue Jays	60:62
21.12.24	Creighton Blue Jays - Villanova Wildcats	86:79
09.03.24	Villanova Wildcats - Creighton Blue Jays	67:69
20.12.23	Creighton Blue Jays - Villanova Wildcats	66:68 OT
09.03.23	Creighton Blue Jays - Villanova Wildcats	87:74
25.02.23	Villanova Wildcats - Creighton Blue Jays	79:67

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villanova Wildcats basketball
NCAA College Basketball
01.11.26	Villanova Wildcats - Notre Dame Fighting Irish	✺

Creighton Blue Jays - Villanova Wildcats