Match Info

Date: 11 March 2021, Thursday


	Crvena Zvezda		BC Khimki

	1	2
	1.23	4.25	Watch
	1.26	3.9
	1.22	4.4	Watch
	1.23	4.1
	1.26	4.18
	1.25	4.1	Watch
	1.26	4.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.3)	4.17 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crvena Zvezda
77%

BC Khimki
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

73.3%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crvena Zvezda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

BC Khimki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Crvena Zvezda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BC Khimki than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that BC Khimki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.4%	0%	69.6%

Crvena Zvezda - BC Khimki Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 7 - 30.4%). Khimki will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Khimki: 50.8% – 88.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:78

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Preview

Crvena Zvezda is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Khimki is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Crvena Zvezda could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Crvena Zvezda have a series of guest games.

In this match Crvena Zvezda is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Crvena Zvezda won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 536-585.

Including matches at home between the teams Crvena Zvezda won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 256-248.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Crvena Zvezda
Adriatic League
08.03.21	KK Split - Crvena Zvezda	60:71 ✺
Euroleague
05.03.21	Olympiacos Piraeus - Crvena Zvezda	94:79 ✺
02.03.21	Crvena Zvezda - Bayern München	76:78 ✺
26.02.21	Baskonia - Crvena Zvezda	87:67 ✺
23.02.21	Žalgiris Kaunas - Crvena Zvezda	75:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL
- BC Khimki
VTB United League
08.03.21	Zenit Saint Petersburg - BC Khimki	78:81 ✺
Euroleague
05.03.21	BC Khimki - ALBA Berlin	81:100 ✺
02.03.21	BC Khimki - Real Madrid	78:77 ✺
VTB United League
28.02.21	BC Khimki - Zielona Góra	94:99 ✺
Euroleague
25.02.21	Olimpia Milano - BC Khimki	84:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
30.10.20	BC Khimki - Crvena Zvezda	83:77
07.02.20	BC Khimki - Crvena Zvezda	78:72
31.10.19	Crvena Zvezda - BC Khimki	90:78
16.01.18	Crvena Zvezda - BC Khimki	70:79
24.10.17	BC Khimki - Crvena Zvezda	85:78
04.12.15	Crvena Zvezda - BC Khimki	96:91
30.10.15	BC Khimki - Crvena Zvezda	91:53

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