Match Info

Euroleague - Round 21

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday

Location: Zalgirio Arena (Kaunas)

Referee: Baki K. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 5
Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Israel	Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Žalgiris Kaunas		Crvena Zvezda

	1	2
	1.56	2.4	Watch
	1.58	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.59	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.59	2.45	Watch
	1.58	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.63)	2.42 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Žalgiris Kaunas
60.6%

Crvena Zvezda
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Žalgiris Kaunas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Crvena Zvezda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris Kaunas than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crvena Zvezda than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	0%	36.4%

Žalgiris Kaunas - Crvena Zvezda Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Žalgiris will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Žalgiris: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Žalgiris (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Crvena Zvezda (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4, OT - Crvena Zvezda (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 159.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3, OT - Žalgiris (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +3.5 - Crvena Zvezda (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Žalgiris (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Crvena Zvezda (votes: 6 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
8. Brazdeikis I.	6. Butler J.
51. Butkevicius A.	12. Kalinic N.
10. Tubelis A.	0. Miller-McIntyre C.
1. Williams-Goss N.	95. Moneke C.
7. Wright M.	20. Motiejunas D.
Substitutes
15. Birutis L.	7. Davidovac D.
3. Francisco S.	4. Graham D.
12. Lo M.	15. Izundu E.
17. Rubstavicius M.	2. Miljenovic S.
91. Sirvydis D.	33. Nwora J.
14. Sleva D.	37. Ojeleye S.
92. Ulanovas E.	99. Yago
Coaches
. Masiulis T.	. Obradovic S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Crvena Zvezda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Žalgiris might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Žalgiris won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1539:1524. (average 77:76.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Žalgiris won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 688:668. (average 76.4:74.2).

Outrights of Euroleague for now

Zalgiris Kaunas: 3.75% Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet: 2.54%

Standings

		Pl	W	L
6	Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet	4	2	2	311:294
7	Zalgiris Kaunas	4	2	2	340:333

Last Results with these Odds

Crvena Zvezda - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 42.23%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Žalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague
06.01.26	Virtus Bologna - Žalgiris Kaunas	83:79 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
04.01.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Neptūnas	112:77 ✺
Euroleague
30.12.25	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Žalgiris Kaunas	80:93 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
27.12.25	Rytas - Žalgiris Kaunas	81:90 ✺
Euroleague
23.12.25	Žalgiris Kaunas - Panathinaikos	85:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWWWL
- KK Crvena Zvezda
Euroleague
06.01.26	Crvena Zvezda - Valencia	89:106 ✺
Adriatic League
04.01.26	Ilirija - Crvena Zvezda	74:91 ✺
Euroleague
02.01.26	Anadolu Efes Pilsen - Crvena Zvezda	65:87 ✺
Adriatic League
27.12.25	Crvena Zvezda - Cedevita Olimpija	97:77 ✺
Euroleague
23.12.25	Paris - Crvena Zvezda	102:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
14.10.25	Crvena Zvezda - Žalgiris Kaunas	88:79
27.02.25	Crvena Zvezda - Žalgiris Kaunas	80:86
30.10.24	Žalgiris Kaunas - Crvena Zvezda	86:84
09.02.24	Crvena Zvezda - Žalgiris Kaunas	91:93
13.10.23	Žalgiris Kaunas - Crvena Zvezda	79:74
Club Friendly Basketball
23.09.23	Crvena Zvezda - Žalgiris Kaunas	84:85
Euroleague
20.01.23	Žalgiris Kaunas - Crvena Zvezda	71:66

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