Match Info

SPAIN: LEB Oro - Round 31

Date: 19 April 2024, Friday


	Cáceres CB		Ourense

	1	2
	1.71	2	Watch
	1.72	1.95
	1.66	2.03
	1.74	2.15
	1.74	2.15
	1.7	2.05
	1.68	2.1
	1.73	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.96)	2.05 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cáceres CB
54.6%

Ourense
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cáceres CB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cáceres CB's performance.

Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ourense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cáceres CB than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cáceres CB that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ourense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Cáceres CB - Ourense Predictions

Users Predictions: Cáceres CB will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Andre D.	8. Jawara K.
2. Bonilla G.	23. Kacinas M.
1. Fernandez P.	0. Perez A.
99. Hamilton A.	41. Radic I.
3. Nuga M.	11. Santana J.
Substitutes
4. Atencia H.	35. Gill R.
50. Balaban D.	3. Mendikote U.
88. Carreno P.	6. Peter-McNeilly A.
22. Gantt G.	12. Rodriguez S.
13. Garcia-Casarrubios D.	7. Zheng B.
11. Raitanen R.
24. Rodriguez D.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cáceres won 2.

Cáceres has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ourense is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Cáceres won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 1082-1126.

Including matches at home between the teams Cáceres won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 528-517.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cáceres CB
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
14.04.24	Oviedo - Cáceres CB	89:71 ✺
10.04.24	Cáceres CB - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	71:97 ✺
06.04.24	San Pablo Burgos - Cáceres CB	109:102 OT ✺
31.03.24	Cáceres CB - Burgos	64:66 ✺
24.03.24	Básquet Coruña - Cáceres CB	97:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Ourense Baloncesto
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
14.04.24	Ourense - Estela	65:72 ✺
10.04.24	CB Lucentum Alicante - Ourense	91:82 ✺
06.04.24	Ourense - Básquet Coruña	84:87 ✺
29.03.24	Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - Ourense	76:66 ✺
23.03.24	Ourense - Estudiantes	92:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
27.10.23	Ourense - Cáceres CB	73:61
31.03.23	Cáceres CB - Ourense	92:77
02.12.22	Ourense - Cáceres CB	76:70
10.01.21	Ourense - Cáceres CB	73:67
30.10.20	Cáceres CB - Ourense	75:66
07.03.20	Ourense - Cáceres CB	74:86
03.11.19	Cáceres CB - Ourense	68:69

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