Match Info
Primera FEB - Round 11Date: 4 February 2026, WednesdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Spain | LaLiga+ |
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Baloncesto Fuenlabrada |
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Ourense |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.3 |
|
3.25 |
 Watch |
 |
1.22 |
|
3.6 |
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 |
1.24 |
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3.87 |
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 |
1.3 |
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3.17 |
Watch |
 |
1.25 |
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3.5 |
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1.3 |
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3.25 |
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 |
1.28 |
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3.4 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.27 ↓
(1.4) |
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3.43 ↑
(2.7) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 166.25
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
- The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Baloncesto Fuenlabrada
73% | Ourense
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baloncesto Fuenlabrada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Baloncesto Fuenlabrada's performance.Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ourense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baloncesto Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Baloncesto Fuenlabrada that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ourense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - Ourense Predictions
Users Predictions:
Baloncesto Fuenlabrada will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Baloncesto Fuenlabrada will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:81 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
8.  Benite V.
| 22.  Kalscheur G.
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22. De Bisschop B.
| 28.  Lisboa R.
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7.  Diaz M.
| 24. McDonnel S.
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88.  Kasibabu J.
| 9.  Okanu K.
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11.  Manchon D.
| 23. Saraiva D.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
35.  Belemene-Dzabatou R.
| 35.  Gill R.
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23. Gomez A.
| 12. Huguet S.
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32. Renfroe A.
| 27. Iglesias M.
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30.  Rigot P.
| 3.  Smith K.
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15. Rodriguez P.
| 10. Vazquez I.
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21.  Stolbetskiy D.
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3. Vazquez A.
| |
Preview
Fuenlabrada is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Ourense is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4). Fuenlabrada is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fuenlabrada won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 324:297. (average 81:74.3).Including home matches between the teams, Fuenlabrada won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 157:140. (average 78.5:70).
Standings
| | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
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| 4 | Ourense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 181:157 | 4 |
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| 16 | Fuenlabrada | 2 | 0 | 2 | 150:175 | 2 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Primera FEB Basketball | | | 31.01.26 | Ourense - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada | 69:72 | | 06.04.25 | Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - Ourense | 81:74 | | 11.01.25 | Ourense - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada | 89:90 OT | | 29.03.24 | Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - Ourense | 76:66 | | 04.11.23 | Ourense - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada | 68:77 |
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