Match Info

TURKEY: Super Lig - Round 10

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Volkswagen Arena (Istanbul)


	Darüşşafaka		Beşiktaş

	1	2
	3.1	1.3
	3.65	1.26
	3.38	1.22
	3.41	1.32	Watch
	3.75	1.25
	3.62	1.27
	3.6	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (3)	1.27 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Darüşşafaka
26.6%

Beşiktaş
73.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

67.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Darüşşafaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darüşşafaka than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Darüşşafaka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beşiktaş, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Darüşşafaka - Beşiktaş Predictions

Users Predictions: Beşiktaş will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:90

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Brajkovic L.	0. Allman K.
14. Gach B.	20. Konan K.
10. Moore O.	30. Martin K.
7. Taskiran E.	5. Needham D.
13. Tinkle T. (C)	14. Sleva D.
Substitutes
20. Akcay E.	10. Aksu Y.
3. Appleby T.	7. Arslan Y. (C)
16. Demir E.	2. Mathews J.
1. Kay T.	9. Morgan C.
8. Mustafa M.	22. Ozbek A.
17. Onan Y.	33. Terry E.
0. Sezgun T.	6. Ugurlu B.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Darüşşafaka won 2.

Darüşşafaka is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Beşiktaş is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Beşiktaş could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Beşiktaş is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Darüşşafaka won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 1597:1564 (average 79.9:78.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Darüşşafaka won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 884:805 (average 80.4:73.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Darüşşafaka SK
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
06.12.24	Karşıyaka - Darüşşafaka	101:86 ✺
02.12.24	Darüşşafaka - Merkezefendi	88:68 ✺
17.11.24	Bahcesehir Koleji - Darüşşafaka	84:73 ✺
09.11.24	Darüşşafaka - Tofaş	78:87 ✺
02.11.24	Türk Telekom BK - Darüşşafaka	105:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLL
- Besiktas Basketball
Eurocup
11.12.24	Beşiktaş - Bahcesehir Koleji	89:82 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
08.12.24	Beşiktaş - Bursaspor	86:95 ✺
Eurocup
04.12.24	KK Budućnost - Beşiktaş	88:90 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
01.12.24	Yalovaspor - Beşiktaş	71:91 ✺
Eurocup
28.11.24	Basket Trento - Beşiktaş	68:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
13.01.24	Beşiktaş - Darüşşafaka	88:72
01.10.23	Darüşşafaka - Beşiktaş	64:61
30.04.23	Darüşşafaka - Beşiktaş	100:93 OT
24.12.22	Beşiktaş - Darüşşafaka	98:84
23.04.22	Beşiktaş - Darüşşafaka	81:75
25.12.21	Darüşşafaka - Beşiktaş	76:73 OT (64:64)
20.03.21	Beşiktaş - Darüşşafaka	98:93

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