Match Info

1. Liga - Round 10

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Zespol Ksztalcenia i Wychowania nr 1 w Pelplinie (Pelplin)


	Decka Pelplin		Astoria Bydgoszcz

	1	2
	2.95	1.34	Watch
	3.01	1.33
	2.97	1.30	Watch
	2.82	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↓ (2.97)	1.33 ↑ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Decka Pelplin
31.1%

Astoria Bydgoszcz
68.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

69.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

71.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Decka Pelplin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Astoria Bydgoszcz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Decka Pelplin than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astoria Bydgoszcz than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Decka Pelplin - Astoria Bydgoszcz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:88

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Coke-Domingue J.	33. Gruszecki K.
6. Gurtatowski F.	11. Kaminski K.
18. Konopatzki M.	32. Kedel P.
12. Nagel M.	50. Kemp A.
99. Siewruk F.	55. Nowakowski M. (C)
Substitutes
88. Bekarciak B.	95. Andrzejewski J.
84. Kuzkow P.	1. Dzierzak W.
10. Ratajczak M. (C)	91. Jamiolkowski M.
25. Rudzinski O.	5. Kachelski N.
97. Stubba B.	14. Kimbrough M.
96. Szczepanski O.	10. Ptak B.
1. Toczek M.
Coaches
. Knap R.	. Skiba G.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Decka Pelplin won 0.

Decka Pelplin has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Astoria Bydgoszcz is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Astoria Bydgoszcz is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Decka Pelplin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 549:665. (average 78.4:95).

Including home matches between the teams, Decka Pelplin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 220:266. (average 73.3:88.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Astoria Bydgoszcz - the odds 1.3 are the expected chance of winning is 69.56%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Decka Pelplin
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
09.11.25	Polonia 1912 Leszno - Decka Pelplin	95:86 ✺
02.11.25	Decka Pelplin - Politechnika Opolska	94:77 ✺
25.10.25	Sokol Lancut - Decka Pelplin	77:70 ✺
19.10.25	Decka Pelplin - ŁKS Łódź	83:72 ✺
11.10.25	GKS Tychy - Decka Pelplin	105:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWL
- Astoria Bydgoszcz
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
08.11.25	Politechnika Opolska - Astoria Bydgoszcz	81:84 ✺
02.11.25	Astoria Bydgoszcz - ŁKS Łódź	74:85 ✺
25.10.25	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Astoria Bydgoszcz	89:91 OT ✺
18.10.25	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński	92:79 ✺
05.10.25	WKK Wrocław - Astoria Bydgoszcz	75:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish 1 Liga Basketball
16.04.25	Decka Pelplin - Astoria Bydgoszcz	95:107
13.04.25	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Decka Pelplin	114:78
12.04.25	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Decka Pelplin	98:77
15.02.25	Decka Pelplin - Astoria Bydgoszcz	77:92
06.11.24	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Decka Pelplin	92:84
20.01.24	Decka Pelplin - Astoria Bydgoszcz	48:67
11.10.23	Astoria Bydgoszcz - Decka Pelplin	95:90 OT

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