Match Info

1. Liga - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Zespol Ksztalcenia i Wychowania nr 1 w Pelplinie (Pelplin)

Referee: Szymanowski M. (Pol)


	Decka Pelplin		Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński

	1	2
	2.2	1.55
	2.42	1.51
	2.4	1.5
	2.34	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.14)	1.52 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Decka Pelplin
39.4%

Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Decka Pelplin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Decka Pelplin than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Decka Pelplin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Decka Pelplin - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Coke-Domingue J.	14. Czerlonko W.
4. Durski D.	4. Gromovs I.
6. Gurtatowski F.	9. Karolak J.
84. Kuzkow P.	12. Mokros J.
12. Nagel M.	20. Ray J.
Substitutes
88. Bekarciak B.	11. Kikowski P. (C)
18. Konopatzki M.	8. Kopycki P.
10. Ratajczak M. (C)	7. Rajewicz W.
25. Rudzinski O.	55. Szmit S.
99. Siewruk F.	10. Wadowski I.
97. Stubba B.
96. Szczepanski O.
Coaches
. Knap R.	. Popiolek M.

Preview

KS Spojnia Stargard leads series 2-1. Third leg.

Decka Pelplin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Spójnia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Spójnia might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Decka Pelplin won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 432:466. (average 86.4:93.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Decka Pelplin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 175:194. (average 87.5:97).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Spojnia Stargard	3	3	0	270:254	6
5	Pelplin	4	2	2	337:344	6

Last Results with these Odds

Decka Pelplin - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.55%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Decka Pelplin
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
25.04.26	Decka Pelplin - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński	68:92 ✺
19.04.26	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Decka Pelplin	84:87 ✺
18.04.26	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Decka Pelplin	96:80 ✺
15.04.26	Resovia Rzeszów - Decka Pelplin	101:78 ✺
11.04.26	Decka Pelplin - WKK Wrocław	90:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLLW
- Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
25.04.26	Decka Pelplin - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński	68:92 ✺
19.04.26	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Decka Pelplin	84:87 ✺
18.04.26	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Decka Pelplin	96:80 ✺
15.04.26	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Noteć Inowrocław	81:67 ✺
11.04.26	Polonia Warszawa - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński	71:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish 1 Liga Basketball
25.04.26	Decka Pelplin - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński	68:92
19.04.26	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Decka Pelplin	84:87
18.04.26	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Decka Pelplin	96:80
17.01.26	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Decka Pelplin	92:90
27.09.25	Decka Pelplin - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński	107:102

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