Match Info

South American League

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday

Location: León Coundou (Asunción)


	Defensor Sporting		Corinthians Paulista

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.68
	2.25	1.53
	2.05	1.66	Watch
	2.22	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.05)	1.62 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensor Sporting
42.8%

Corinthians Paulista
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensor Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Corinthians Paulista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensor Sporting than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians Paulista than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Defensor Sporting - Corinthians Paulista Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 77:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. Colmenares N.	23. Caue L.
00. Metzger T.	15. Clark E.
77. Soto F.	55. Elinho
15. Terra F.	0. Thomas D.
3. Weaver E.	10. Victao
Substitutes
9. Antunes M.	1. Faria T.
45. Bianchi M.	17. Gabriel Novaes
27. De Leon F.	9. Jamelao
11. Gomez B.	14. Munford R.
23. MacMullen M.	8. Pereira K.
21. Wright D.	11. Raymundo K.
13. Zubiaurre M.
Coaches
. Brea G.	. Leite J.

Preview

Defensor has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Corinthians Paulista is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Defensor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 143:144. (average 71.5:72).

Including home match between the teams, Defensor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 62:68.

Last Results with these Odds

Corinthians Paulista - the odds 1.66 are the expected chance of winning is 55.26%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Defensor Sporting
Basketball South American League
15.11.25	Regatas Corrientes - Defensor Sporting	72:56 ✺
14.11.25	Deportivo San José - Defensor Sporting	54:64 ✺
Uruguayan Liga Basketball
11.11.25	Defensor Sporting - Cordón	97:84 ✺
07.11.25	Unión Atlética - Defensor Sporting	74:75 ✺
04.11.25	Defensor Sporting - Malvín	76:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWL
- Corinthians Paulista Basketball
Basketball South American League
15.11.25	Deportivo San José - Corinthians Paulista	80:85 ✺
14.11.25	Corinthians Paulista - Regatas Corrientes	66:72 ✺
Brazilian NBB
11.11.25	Corinthians Paulista - São José dos Campos	78:64 ✺
08.11.25	Unifacisa - Corinthians Paulista	75:105 ✺
05.11.25	Basquete Cearense - Corinthians Paulista	82:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Basketball South American League
25.10.25	Corinthians Paulista - Defensor Sporting	76:81
09.10.19	Defensor Sporting - Corinthians Paulista	62:68

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