The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Denizli Basket 43.4%
Tofaş 56.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.4%
46.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.1%
40.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Denizli Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Denizli Basket's form might have worsened.
Tofaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tofaş's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denizli Basket than the current prediction. (+15.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Denizli Basket, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tofaş than the current prediction. (-15.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tofaş, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Denizli Basket - Tofaş Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Tofaş will win (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:87
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
46. Agva M. (C)
44. Brown G.
10. Bailey V.
5. Carter T.
1. Ivey B.
32. Jones T.
12. Meeks J.
22. Postel E.
5. Pecarski M.
15. Thurman T.
Substitutes
6. Alisan Y.
55. Apaydin L. H.
22. Amzil M.
6. Kabaca E.
2. Dunn J.
8. McNeace J.
11. Gazi E.
10. Nutall Z.
15. Guven E.
33. Reynolds S.
16. Yenice B.
3. Saybir Y. (C)
4. Yilmaz M.
24. Serbest E.
Coaches
. Aktas Z.
. Cancellieri M.
Preview
Denizli Basket has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Tofaş shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Tofaş may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Tofaş has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Denizli Basket has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 145:172 (averaging 72.5:86 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Denizli Basket against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 60:83 goals.
Outrights of Turkish Basketball Super Ligi for now
Tofas: 0.94% Denizli Basket: 0.75%
Standings
Pl
W
L
Pts
4
Denizli Basket
2
1
1
182:172
3
13
Tofas
2
1
1
177:190
3
Last Results with these Odds
Tofaş - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 46.59%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.