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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Valdivia 65.7%
Universidad De Concepción 34.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.4%
50.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.2%
48.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Valdivia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Valdivia's performance.
Universidad De Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Universidad De Concepción might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Valdivia than the current prediction. (-14.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Valdivia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad De Concepción than the current prediction. (+14.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Universidad De Concepción could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Deportivo Valdivia - Universidad De Concepción Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:74
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
0. Allen K.
12. Aguirre Urrutia N.
9. Carrasco E.
8. Daniels T.
2. Garrett Z.
60. Evans J.
23. Hernandez G.
23. Rubio K.
5. Liss O.
2. Wells Z.
Substitutes
12. Bravo S.
28. Low D.
4. De Leon A.
11. Martinez N.
19. Hermosilla G.
14. Milano Paez C.
17. Herrera F.
27. Pereira S.
7. Larsen Elortondo E.
7. Rivera M.
1. Mique S.
9. Saravia F.
40. Sanzana C.
10. Vander B.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Valdivia won 1.
Deportivo Valdivia is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Udeconce is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Deportivo Valdivia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Valdivia has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 17 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1503:1670 (averaging 75.2:83.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Deportivo Valdivia against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 743:785 goals (averaging 74.3:78.5 per game).