Match Info

Date: 21 March 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Derthona Basket Tortona		Bergamo

	1	2
	1.26	3.65	Watch
	1.28	3.3
	1.24	3.4
	1.27	3.86
	1.29	3.5
	1.29	3.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.31)	3.56 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 148.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derthona Basket Tortona
73.7%

Bergamo
26.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71.7%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.5%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derthona Basket Tortona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Bergamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona Basket Tortona than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergamo than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Derthona Basket Tortona - Bergamo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:70

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Preview

Tortona is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bergamo is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tortona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tortona is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tortona won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 378-388.

Including matches at home between the teams Tortona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 159-147.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derthona Basket Tortona
Italian Serie A2 Green Basketball
14.03.21	Derthona Basket Tortona - Pallacanestro Mantovana	74:79 ✺
11.03.21	Derthona Basket Tortona - Udine	76:59 ✺
07.03.21	Verona - Derthona Basket Tortona	68:62 ✺
03.03.21	Basket Torino - Derthona Basket Tortona	75:71 ✺
28.02.21	Derthona Basket Tortona - Urania Milano	68:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL
- Bergamo Basket
Italian Serie A2 Green Basketball
17.03.21	Bergamo - Angelico Biella	93:82 ✺
14.03.21	Verona - Bergamo	84:78 ✺
07.03.21	Bergamo - Assigeco Piacenza	75:79 ✺
04.03.21	Basket Treviglio - Bergamo	81:71 ✺
28.02.21	Bergamo - Pallacanestro Mantovana	70:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Green Basketball
10.01.21	Bergamo - Derthona Basket Tortona	67:78
Italian LNP Gold Basketball
29.12.19	Bergamo - Derthona Basket Tortona	89:65
13.10.19	Derthona Basket Tortona - Bergamo	84:69
20.04.19	Bergamo - Derthona Basket Tortona	85:76
06.01.19	Derthona Basket Tortona - Bergamo	75:78 OT (66:66)

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derthona Basket Tortona
Eurocup
04.11.26	Cedevita Olimpija - Derthona Basket Tortona	✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
01.11.26	Udine - Derthona Basket Tortona	✺

Derthona Basket Tortona - Bergamo