Match Info

ITALY: LEGA A - ROUND 9

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: PalaOlimpia (Verona) 🌤️ ...


	Verona		Derthona Basket Tortona

	1	2
	2.9	1.43	Watch
	2.6	1.45
	2.8	1.44
	2.7	1.43
	2.82	1.46
	2.85	1.44
	2.72	1.47	Watch
	2.65	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.27)	1.44 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Verona
34.4%

Derthona Basket Tortona
65.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.1%

59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Verona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Verona's form might have worsened.

Derthona Basket Tortona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derthona Basket Tortona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Verona than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Verona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona Basket Tortona than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derthona Basket Tortona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Verona - Derthona Basket Tortona Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Verona will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). Tortona will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Verona: 73.9% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:80

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs)).

Verona is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tortona is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Tortona is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Verona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 148-149.

Including matches at home between the teams Verona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 68-62.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Verona
Italian Lega A Basketball
27.11.22	Verona - Varese	91:98 ✺
19.11.22	Reggiana - Verona	65:69 ✺
06.11.22	Verona - Basket Trento	86:92 OT (77:77) ✺
30.10.22	Olimpia Milano - Verona	78:54 ✺
23.10.22	Scafati - Verona	92:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWLLL
- Derthona Basket Tortona
Italian Lega A Basketball
27.11.22	Derthona Basket Tortona - Napoli Basket	74:73 ✺
20.11.22	Basket Brescia - Derthona Basket Tortona	83:68 ✺
06.11.22	Brindisi - Derthona Basket Tortona	86:84 ✺
30.10.22	Derthona Basket Tortona - Venezia	77:61 ✺
22.10.22	Trieste - Derthona Basket Tortona	56:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Green Basketball
07.03.21	Verona - Derthona Basket Tortona	68:62
27.12.20	Derthona Basket Tortona - Verona	87:80

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Verona
Italian Lega A Basketball
31.10.26	Verona - Varese	✺
- Derthona Basket Tortona
Eurocup
04.11.26	Cedevita Olimpija - Derthona Basket Tortona	✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
01.11.26	Udine - Derthona Basket Tortona	✺

Verona - Derthona Basket Tortona