Match Info

ITALY: LEGA A - ROUND 2

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday

Location: PalaFerraris (Casale Monferrato)


	Derthona Basket Tortona		Brindisi

	1	2
	1.43	2.9	Watch
	1.4	2.85
	1.38	3.1	Watch
	1.38	3.16
	1.36	3.25	Watch
	1.41	2.95	Watch
	1.37	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↑ (1.35)	3.02 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 157.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Derthona Basket Tortona
68.5%

Brindisi
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Derthona Basket Tortona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Brindisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona Basket Tortona than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brindisi than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Derthona Basket Tortona - Brindisi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:76

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Preview

Tortona is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Brindisi is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Brindisi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Tortona have a series of guest games.

Recently Brindisi have a series of home games.

Tortona will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Tortona won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 342-332.

Including matches at home between the teams Tortona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 159-164.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Derthona Basket Tortona
Italian Lega A Basketball
01.10.23	Venezia - Derthona Basket Tortona	76:60 ✺
Italian Lega A Super Cup Basketball
23.09.23	Basket Brescia - Derthona Basket Tortona	86:63 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
19.09.23	Baskonia - Derthona Basket Tortona	86:85 ✺
09.09.23	Derthona Basket Tortona - Basket Trento	89:71 ✺
06.09.23	Olimpia Milano - Derthona Basket Tortona	96:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLWL
- Basket Brindisi
Italian Lega A Basketball
04.10.23	Brindisi - Reggiana	63:87 ✺
Champions League Basketball
01.10.23	Cholet Basket - Brindisi	80:69 ✺
29.09.23	Brindisi - Dukes Unlimited Den Bosch	78:63 ✺
27.09.23	Brindisi - CSM Oradea	77:74 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
17.09.23	Brindisi - Falco Szombathely	84:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
02.04.23	Derthona Basket Tortona - Brindisi	81:77
06.11.22	Brindisi - Derthona Basket Tortona	86:84
08.05.22	Brindisi - Derthona Basket Tortona	82:99
09.10.21	Derthona Basket Tortona - Brindisi	78:87

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