The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Basket Brescia 71.1%
Derthona Basket Tortona 28.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.2%
38.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.3%
40.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basket Brescia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Basket Brescia's performance.
Derthona Basket Tortona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Derthona Basket Tortona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Brescia than the current prediction. (-11.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Basket Brescia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona Basket Tortona than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derthona Basket Tortona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -5.5, OT - Brescia (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Brescia (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:82
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
2. Bilan M.
4. Gorham J.
8. Della V. A.
3. Hubb P.
18. Ivanovic N.
17. Olejniczak D.
21. Mobio J.
25. Riismaa J.
23. Rivers D.
1. Vital C.
Substitutes
10. Burnell J.
13. Baldasso T.
25. Cournooh D.
19. Biligha P.
6. Doneda A.
7. Chapman B.
3. Ferrero G.
5. Manjon E.
5. Massinburg C.
6. Pecchia A.
9. Ndour M.
12. Strautins A.
7. Santinon M.
11. Tandia L.
Coaches
. Cotelli M.
. Fioretti M.
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Lega A (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brescia won 4.
Recent performances by Brescia have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Tortona is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, Brescia is seen as the favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Brescia won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1005:915. (average 83.8:76.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Brescia won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 669:620. (average 83.6:77.5).
Italy
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Bilan M. 
Gorham J. 
Della V. A. 
Ivanovic N. 
Olejniczak D. 
Mobio J. 
Riismaa J. 
Vital C. 
Ndour M. 
Strautins A. 
Tandia L. 
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