Match Info

LNBP - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Location: Gimnasio Olimpico Juan de la Barrera (Ciudad de Mexico)


	Diablos Rojos del Mexico		Dorados de Chihuahua

	1	2
			Watch
	1.7	1.98
	1.51	2.41
	1.98	1.70	Watch
	1.64	2.15
	1.41	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.41)	2.19 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diablos Rojos del Mexico
57%

Dorados de Chihuahua
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diablos Rojos del Mexico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Diablos Rojos del Mexico's form might have worsened.

Dorados de Chihuahua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dorados de Chihuahua's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diablos Rojos del Mexico than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Diablos Rojos del Mexico, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorados de Chihuahua than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dorados de Chihuahua, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Diablos Rojos del Mexico - Dorados de Chihuahua Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dorados (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2, OT - Diablos Rojos (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Diablos Rojos (votes: 1 - 50%). Dorados (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Brite D.	8. Branch S.
24. Carrera M.	2. Estrada J. (C)
1. Dime M.	12. Johnson T.
5. Smith D.	3. Mitchell C.
22. Smith M. (C)	6. Ponds S.
Substitutes
11. Andriassi L.	7. Banks A.
33. Bonilla Y.	41. Hasbrouck K.
7. Cruz J.	25. Perez J.
12. Dominguez R.	4. Pruitt A.
8. Gonzalez L.	10. Ramos H.
9. Helmanis K.	14. Thomas L.
6. Wilson J.	11. Valdez-Bustamante R.

Preview

Series tied 2-2. 5th leg.

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LNBP (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LNBP (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Diablos Rojos won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Dorados may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Diablos Rojos might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Diablos Rojos won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1046:1052. (average 87.2:87.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Diablos Rojos won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 365:363. (average 91.3:90.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diablos Rojos del México Basketball
Mexican LNBP
14.10.25	Dorados de Chihuahua - Diablos Rojos del Mexico	65:81 ✺
13.10.25	Dorados de Chihuahua - Diablos Rojos del Mexico	96:84 ✺
10.10.25	Diablos Rojos del Mexico - Dorados de Chihuahua	78:86 ✺
09.10.25	Diablos Rojos del Mexico - Dorados de Chihuahua	94:85 ✺
27.09.25	El Calor de Cancun - Diablos Rojos del Mexico	83:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLWW
- Dorados de Chihuahua Basketball
Mexican LNBP
14.10.25	Dorados de Chihuahua - Diablos Rojos del Mexico	65:81 ✺
13.10.25	Dorados de Chihuahua - Diablos Rojos del Mexico	96:84 ✺
10.10.25	Diablos Rojos del Mexico - Dorados de Chihuahua	78:86 ✺
09.10.25	Diablos Rojos del Mexico - Dorados de Chihuahua	94:85 ✺
03.10.25	Dorados de Chihuahua - Gambusinos de Fresnillo	94:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican LNBP
14.10.25	Dorados de Chihuahua - Diablos Rojos del Mexico	65:81
13.10.25	Dorados de Chihuahua - Diablos Rojos del Mexico	96:84
10.10.25	Diablos Rojos del Mexico - Dorados de Chihuahua	78:86
09.10.25	Diablos Rojos del Mexico - Dorados de Chihuahua	94:85
19.07.25	Dorados de Chihuahua - Diablos Rojos del Mexico	90:110
18.07.25	Dorados de Chihuahua - Diablos Rojos del Mexico	88:72
31.10.24	Dorados de Chihuahua - Diablos Rojos del Mexico	90:94

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