Match Info

ITALY: Lega A - Round 7

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Palasport Roberta Serradimigni (Sassari)

Referee: Dionisi A. (Ita)


	Dinamo Sassari		Pistoia Basket

	1	2
	1.3	3.3
	1.28	3.7	Watch
	1.24	3.84
	1.29	3.62	Watch
	1.29	3.7
	1.3	3.59	Watch
	1.28	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.5)	3.64 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo Sassari
73.9%

Pistoia Basket
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo Sassari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dinamo Sassari's performance.

Pistoia Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pistoia Basket might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Sassari than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dinamo Sassari that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pistoia Basket than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pistoia Basket could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Dinamo Sassari - Pistoia Basket Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:76

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Bendzius E.	77. Brajkovic L.
1. Bibbins J.	4. Childs E.
11. Fobbs B.	00. Christon S.
7. Halilovic M.	11. Forrest M.
16. Veronesi G.	8. Rowan M.
Substitutes
0. Cappelletti A.	3. Anumba M.
2. Piredda S.	0. Benetti G.
35. Renfro N.	12. Boglio A.
24. Sokolowski M.	14. Cemmi L.
15. Tambone M.	2. Della Rosa G.
5. Trucchetti S.	15. Saccaggi L.
22. Vincini L.	25. Silins K.
Coaches
. Markovic N.	. Markovski Z.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sassari won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Sassari could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sassari is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sassari to win the game is with odds 1.33.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Sassari won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1264:1174 (average 84.3:78.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Sassari won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 663:578 (average 94.7:82.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo Sassari
FIBA Europe Cup
06.11.24	Anwil Włocławek - Dinamo Sassari	83:86 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
03.11.24	Derthona Basket Tortona - Dinamo Sassari	71:68 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
30.10.24	Dinamo Sassari - Sporting Lisbon	88:71 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
27.10.24	Dinamo Sassari - Basket Trento	81:84 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
24.10.24	Dnipro - Dinamo Sassari	55:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWLW
- Pistoia Basket 2000
Italian Lega A Basketball
03.11.24	Pistoia Basket - Reggiana	73:70 ✺
27.10.24	Varese - Pistoia Basket	102:95 ✺
20.10.24	Pistoia Basket - Venezia	64:77 ✺
13.10.24	Vanoli-Braga Cremona - Pistoia Basket	65:66 ✺
06.10.24	Virtus Bologna - Pistoia Basket	84:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
14.01.24	Dinamo Sassari - Pistoia Basket	107:69
19.11.23	Pistoia Basket - Dinamo Sassari	68:63
04.01.20	Pistoia Basket - Dinamo Sassari	70:78
17.03.19	Pistoia Basket - Dinamo Sassari	82:90 OT (78:78)
18.11.18	Dinamo Sassari - Pistoia Basket	111:113
15.04.18	Pistoia Basket - Dinamo Sassari	69:80
16.12.17	Dinamo Sassari - Pistoia Basket	88:81

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